|

USD/INR: Bulls may surpass all-time highs around 77.20 on boiling oil prices and consistent FII withdrawal

  • USD/INR hits all-time high at 77.17 on rising crude oil prices and consistent withdrawal from FIIs.
  • The Indian rupee will continue to depreciate further as a rally in oil prices is far from over.
  • The expectation of stagflation in Europe is haunting the developing economies.

The USD/INR has claimed an all-time high of 77.17 on Tuesday as the rising crude oil prices have trimmed the potential of the Indian rupee against the mighty greenback.

India, being a major importer of crude oil has to face significant outflows in addressing higher crude oil prices. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices near $125.00, indicating a wider fiscal deficit for India going forward. The rally in crude oil is far from over and Indian equities may face some serious plunge in their margins in the upcoming earnings season.

Apart from the surging oil prices, Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) are continuously withdrawing their funds over the geopolitical tensions. Intensifying fears amid the Russia-Ukraine war has advocated a situation of stagflation in Europe. The old continent, being a leading market for India, will affect the latter's fiscal revenue and henceforth hurt the Indian rupee.

Meanwhile, the Ukrainian President has agreed to Russia’s condition in which Kyiv would withdraw its application of membership to NATO. This has brought a follow-up buying in global equities but risk-sensitive currencies need more assurance.

The US dollar index (DXY) is juggling around 99.10 as investors await a fresh trigger that may bring stimulus for further direction.

The headlines from the Ukraine crisis will continue to remain a key driver for the pair. However, investors will also focus on US Consumer Prices Index (CPI) numbers, which are due on Thursday.

USD/INR

Overview
Today last price76.9219
Today Daily Change-0.0210
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open76.9429
 
Trends
Daily SMA2075.4555
Daily SMA5074.8805
Daily SMA10074.9207
Daily SMA20074.517
 
Levels
Previous Daily High77.1725
Previous Daily Low76.7523
Previous Weekly High76.5237
Previous Weekly Low75.0554
Previous Monthly High75.9006
Previous Monthly Low74.3785
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%76.9128
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%77.012
Daily Pivot Point S176.7393
Daily Pivot Point S276.5357
Daily Pivot Point S376.3191
Daily Pivot Point R177.1595
Daily Pivot Point R277.3761
Daily Pivot Point R377.5797

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.