|

USD Index Price Analysis: The 102.80 region caps the upside so far

  • DXY breaches the 102.00 support in the wake of US CPI.
  • Bullish attempts remain limited by the 102.80 region, or monthly highs.

DXY comes under intense selling pressure and breaks below the 102.00 support to rebound soon afterwards on Thursday.

The index appears to have embarked on a consolidative phase for the time being. Next on the upside emerges the so far monthly top of 102.84 (August 3), while the  breakout of this level exposes a probable move to the key 200-day SMA at 103.37 prior to the July high of 103.57 (July 3).

Looking at the broader picture, while below the 200-day SMA the outlook for the index is expected to remain negative.

DXY daily chart

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price102.24
Today Daily Change77
Today Daily Change %-0.25
Today daily open102.5
 
Trends
Daily SMA20101.36
Daily SMA50102.29
Daily SMA100102.32
Daily SMA200103.29
 
Levels
Previous Daily High102.58
Previous Daily Low102.29
Previous Weekly High102.84
Previous Weekly Low101.53
Previous Monthly High103.57
Previous Monthly Low99.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%102.4
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%102.47
Daily Pivot Point S1102.34
Daily Pivot Point S2102.17
Daily Pivot Point S3102.05
Daily Pivot Point R1102.62
Daily Pivot Point R2102.75
Daily Pivot Point R3102.91

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.