|

USD Index Price Analysis: No changes to the current consolidation

  • DXY manages to regain some composure and tests 104.70.
  • Further range bound trade looks likely for the time being.

DXY trades within a narrow range at in the mid-104.00s at the beginning of the week.

So far, the continuation of the range bound theme seems the most likely scenario in the very near term for the index. In the meantime, the dollar needs to clear the February peak at 105.35 (February 27) to allow for extra recovery and a potential challenge of the 2023 top at 105.63 (January 6).

In the longer run, while below the 200-day SMA at 106.55, the outlook for the index remains negative.

DXY daily chart

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price104.5
Today Daily Change35
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open104.52
 
Trends
Daily SMA20104.08
Daily SMA50103.37
Daily SMA100104.94
Daily SMA200106.82
 
Levels
Previous Daily High105.01
Previous Daily Low104.48
Previous Weekly High105.36
Previous Weekly Low104.09
Previous Monthly High105.36
Previous Monthly Low100.81
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%104.69
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%104.81
Daily Pivot Point S1104.33
Daily Pivot Point S2104.14
Daily Pivot Point S3103.8
Daily Pivot Point R1104.86
Daily Pivot Point R2105.2
Daily Pivot Point R3105.39

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 100-SMA hurdle near 0.7035 as hawkish RBA counters firmer USD

AUD/USD regains positive traction on Tuesday and climbs to 0.7030 during the Asian session, reversing the previous day's corrective slide from a one-month high as hawkish RBA rate expectations continue to support the Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the 100-day SMA pivotal resistance amid a firmer US Dollar as traders brace for Australia’s September CPI report on Wednesday ahead of the Fed rate decision.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold holds above $4,000 as traders brace for Fed interest rate decision

Gold edges higher during American trading hours on Tuesday after trading in negative territory earlier in the day. A slight decline in Oil prices offers some relief, although a firmer USD limits the upside as traders await the Fed’s monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP on edge as sell-side pressure intensifies

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly correcting on Tuesday, led by Bitcoin (BTC) edging lower below the pivotal $80,000 level. Ethereum (ETH) mirrors Bitcoin’s neutral-to-bearish outlook, while Ripple (XRP) hovers around $1.30.

Experts agree: Fed policy outlook and geopolitical tensions keep US Dollar bid

The US Dollar Index rallies 0.6% in three days and hits fresh two-week highs above 102.00. Investors return to the US Dollar as markets brace for a hawkish hold by the Fed on Wednesday. Waning hopes of any immediate US-Iran peace deal have provided additional support to the safe-haven USD.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.