|

USD Index Price Analysis: A drop to 104.40 emerges on the horizon

  • DXY extends the weekly retracement below 105.00.
  • Further south comes the weekly low near 104.40.

DXY has been shedding ground for the last three sessions and has opened the door to extra losses in the near term.

In case the corrective decline picks up further pace, the index could extend the drop to, initially, the weekly low of 104.42 (September 11). A sustained pullback below the latter could prompt the index to embark on a potential test of the critical 200-day SMA, today at 103.03.

While above the key 200-day SMA, the outlook for the index is expected to remain constructive.

DXY daily chart

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price104.96
Today Daily Change39
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open105.08
 
Trends
Daily SMA20104.36
Daily SMA50102.84
Daily SMA100102.89
Daily SMA200103.03
 
Levels
Previous Daily High105.36
Previous Daily Low105.02
Previous Weekly High105.44
Previous Weekly Low104.42
Previous Monthly High104.44
Previous Monthly Low101.74
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%105.15
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%105.23
Daily Pivot Point S1104.95
Daily Pivot Point S2104.82
Daily Pivot Point S3104.62
Daily Pivot Point R1105.28
Daily Pivot Point R2105.49
Daily Pivot Point R3105.62

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD off three-month highs, holds near 1.1800 on softer US Dollar

EUR/USD consolidates gains below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Wednesday. A broadly subdued US Dollar continues to underpin the pair amid quiet markets and thin liquidity conditions on Christmas Eve. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 in the European session on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders turn to sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs amid profit-taking on Christmas Eve

Gold retreats following the move higher to the $4,525 area, or a fresh all-time peak, though the downside remains limited amid a bullish fundamental backdrop. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Shiba Inu's bears tighten grip, aiming for yearly lows

Shiba Inu price remains under pressure, trading below $0.000070 on Wednesday as bearish momentum continues to dominate the broader crypto market. On-chain and derivatives data further support the bearish sentiment, while technical analysis suggests a deeper correction targeting the yearly lows.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Stellar Price Forecast: XLM slips below $0.22 as bearish momentum builds

Stellar (XLM) price is trading below $0.22 at the time of writing on Wednesday after failing to close above the key resistance earlier this week. Bearish momentum continues to strengthen, with open interest falling and short bets rising.