|

USD Index Price Analysis: A drop below 101.00 remains likely

  • DXY regains some buying interest and attempt a decent bounce.
  • Next on the downside appears the 101.00 region ahead of YTD lows.

DXY reverses three consecutive sessions with losses and rebound from daily lows near 101.20 on Tuesday.

The recent choppy performance in the index seems to have now refocused back on the downside. Against that, DXY could cling to this consolidative theme ahead of a probable drop to the 101.00 zone. The loss of the latter could expose a move to the so far 2023 lows near 100.80 (April 14).

Looking at the broader picture, while below the 200-day SMA, today at 106.15, the outlook for the index is expected to remain negative.

DXY daily chart

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price101.53
Today Daily Change37
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open101.34
 
Trends
Daily SMA20101.94
Daily SMA50103.27
Daily SMA100103.34
Daily SMA200106.25
 
Levels
Previous Daily High101.91
Previous Daily Low101.33
Previous Weekly High102.23
Previous Weekly Low101.53
Previous Monthly High105.89
Previous Monthly Low101.92
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%101.55
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%101.69
Daily Pivot Point S1101.15
Daily Pivot Point S2100.95
Daily Pivot Point S3100.57
Daily Pivot Point R1101.73
Daily Pivot Point R2102.11
Daily Pivot Point R3102.31

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200 as bulls await US CPI for Fed rate cues

AUD/USD is seen extending its consolidative price action above 0.7200 during the Asian session on Wednesday as traders await the release of US inflation figures later in the week. Meanwhile, rising RBA rate-hike bets act as a tailwind for the Aussie amid Yen-inspired US Dollar weakness. However, escalating US-Iran tensions and hawkish Fed expectations limit USD losses, capping the currency pair.

USD/JPY hangs near multi-month low, above 153.00 amid BoJ hike bets



USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Wednesday as the strong Reuters Tankan business survey adds to the case for continued BoJ policy normalisation and boosts the Japanese Yen. This, along with a broadly weaker US Dollar, keeps spot prices close to a nearly seven-month low set on Tuesday. However, geopolitical risks and Fed rate hike bets could support the USD and the currency pair ahead of the release of US inflation figures later this week.

Gold weakens below $4,350, hitting a one-week low on hawkish Fed bets

Gold trades with a negative bias for the fourth straight day and drops to a one-week low, below $4,350 during the Asian session on Wednesday. Expectations of a Fed rate hike this month weigh on the non-yielding bullion. The US Dollar, however, struggles to lure buyers amid a rallying Yen and could support the commodity as traders await the key US inflation data for a fresh impetus.

Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to macro signals amid changing derivatives narrative
Bitcoin’s (BTC) sensitivity to US economic data has become increasingly evident this year. As the market approaches several important data dumps this week, BTC traders are keenly aware of the significance just like their counterparts in TradFi. And just like the stock market, crypto traders are focused squarely on the US central bank's interest rate policy.
Gold and stocks: What eight midterm elections did
I went back through every midterm election since 1994 and asked one question of each: when did the stock market make its low for the year, before the vote or after it? In seven of the eight cycles, the low came before the election. In six of the eight, it came between mid-June and mid-October, which is to say in the exact window that the "they won't let it fall" argument says is protected.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.

USD Index Price Analysis: A drop below 101.00 remains likely