USD/CNY: Yuan will continue to appreciate this year, but at a mild pace – Commerzbank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Economists at Commerzbank forecast CNY to appreciate mildly this year due to the tailwinds from Covid reopening.

Risks to growth and CNY remain significant

“Due to the Covid reopening and in anticipation of a weaker dollar later this year, we forecast CNY will continue to appreciate this year. But the pace of appreciation will be mild as we remain cautious about the speed of the economic recovery, especially in H2.”

“Confidence will be crucial to growth and the CNY path further down the road. But the degree to which confidence will be regained remains highly uncertain.”

“Meanwhile, the property slump will take time to turn around, and headwinds from global slowdown and US-China tensions will remain strong. Thus, risks to growth and CNY remain large.”

Source: Commerzbank Research

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD edges lower below 1.3650, with eyes on US PCE data

GBP/USD trades with a negative bias below 1.3650 in the European session on Wednesday, eroding a part of the previous day's strong gains. The pair, however, remains within striking distance of a six-month top, set last Friday, as traders keenly await the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for a fresh impetus.

EUR/USD holds lower ground near 1.1650 ahead of key US data

EUR/USD is holding lower ground toward 1.1650 in Wednesday's European session. The US Dollar is recovering modestly amid profit-taking and Middle East uncertainty. US inflation, tracked by the PCE, and another revision of Q2 GDP data should keep investors entertained on Wednesday.

Gold remains depressed below $4,650 on firmer USD; looks to US PCE for Fed rate outlook

Gold sticks to modest losses below $4,650 heading into the European session, though it lacks bearish conviction and remains confined within the previous day's broader range. The US Dollar regains positive traction amid some repositioning ahead of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index and is seen as weighing on the commodity. Adding to this, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's remarks at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday might offer more cues about the interest rate path.

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe: Profit-taking cools last week’s rally

Meme coins, including Dogecoin (DOGE), Shiba Inu (SHIB), and Pepe (PEPE), are losing their bullish momentum after last week’s double-digit gains. Facing downside pressure amid profit-taking, DOGE and PEPE risk further decline while SHIB holds at a support level.

America’s self‑inflicted trade wound

I’m conflicted about the trade war that the U.S. has started with Canada. Let’s be clear: any representation that Canada has been taking unfair advantage of the U.S. or that they have been treating us badly for years is a bogus characterization. In reality, the shoe is on the other foot. It’s the U.S. that has been behaving badly.

Canada hits US goods with tariffs; The rate market sees a problem

On September 8, Canada begins charging its own importers 15%, 25% and 50% on roughly 700 lines of American goods. The measure is billed as dollar for dollar, and on the arithmetic of covered trade it is. What it is not is a tax on the United States.