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USD/CNH faces resistance around 7.0600 as Caixin Manufacturing PMI rises to 49.4

  • USD/CNH has sensed barricades after a mild recovery around 7.0600 amid upbeat Caixin Manufacturing PMI.
  • China‘s official Manufacturing PMI has landed at 49.4 vs. expectations of 48.9.
  • Weak cues from US ADP Employment suggest a future US NFP decline.

The USD/CNH pair is looking to conclude its recovery move around 7.0600 as China’s official Manufacturing PMI has landed better than expectations. The Caixin Manufacturing PMI has been recorded at 49.4 for November month vs. 48.9 as projected and October’s release of 49.2. A surprise rise in the official Manufacturing PMI is expected to support the Chinese yuan ahead.

Meanwhile, the risk profile in the global market is extremely bullish as the Federal Reserve (Fed) has given a green signal to deceleration in interest rate hike pace from December monetary policy meeting. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has attempted a recovery after dropping to near 105.50, however, the downside bias is rock solid.

S&P500 futures display a muted start in the Asian session after a juggernaut rally in New York. A significant rise in investors’ risk appetite has impacted returns on US Treasury bonds. The 10-year US Treasury yields have dropped to near 3.61%.

Weak employment numbers in November, a slowdown in economic activities, and a surprise decline in October’s inflation report have backed less-hawkish commentary from Fed chair Jerome Powell. The Fed chair is not ready to crash the economy instead of cleaning the inflation mess. Accelerating interest rates by the Fed has triggered fears of financing risks dramatically, therefore, the Fed has preferred to go a little light on interest rates this time and hike the interest rates by 50 basis points (bps).

Going forward, investors will keep an eye on US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which will release on Friday. Expectations favor a steep decline in the number of fresh payrolls following cues from the US Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment data.

USD/CNH

Overview
Today last price7.0584
Today Daily Change0.0106
Today Daily Change %0.15
Today daily open7.0478
 
Trends
Daily SMA207.1619
Daily SMA507.1813
Daily SMA1007.0144
Daily SMA2006.788
 
Levels
Previous Daily High7.162
Previous Daily Low7.0442
Previous Weekly High7.2116
Previous Weekly Low7.1188
Previous Monthly High7.3568
Previous Monthly Low7.0194
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%7.0892
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%7.1171
Daily Pivot Point S17.0074
Daily Pivot Point S26.9669
Daily Pivot Point S36.8896
Daily Pivot Point R17.1252
Daily Pivot Point R27.2025
Daily Pivot Point R37.243

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
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