|

USD/CNH: Any decline might not be able to reach 7.1750 – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) could edge lower against Chinese Yen (CNH), but any decline might not be able to reach 7.1750. In the longer run, USD appears to have moved into a 7.1600/7.2240 range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

USD may have moved into the long term 7.1600/7.2240 range

24-HOUR VIEW: "USD dropped by 0.26% last Friday, closing at 7.1910. There has been a buildup in downward momentum, albeit not by much. Today, USD could edge lower, but any decline might not be able to reach 7.1750 (there is another support level at 7.1820). Resistance is at 7.1970, followed by 7.2080."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "After USD surged to a high of 7.2140, we highlighted last Thursday (31 Jul, spot at 7.2040), that 'the sharp rally appears to be excessive, but as long as USD holds above 7.1750 (‘strong support’ level), there is a chance for it to rise further to 7.2250.' Last Friday, USD rose to a high of 7.2240 and then dropped sharply, reaching a low of 7.1888. While our ‘strong support’ level has not been breached yet, upward momentum has fizzled out after the sharp decline. USD appears to have moved into a range trading phase. For the time being, we expect USD to trade in a range of 7.1600/7.2240."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases marginally, back to 1.1800

EUR/USD navigates a narrow range on Thursday, hovering around the 1.1800 neighbourhood in a context of humble gains in the US Dollar. The pair’s lacklustre performance come amid the unabated trade uncertainty, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the cautious tone from the ECB’s Lagarde.

GBP/USD retreats from tops, approaching 1.3540

GBP/USD partially sets aside Wednesday’s strong advance and recedes to the 1.3540 region on Thursday. Cable’s modest retracement follows the equally acceptable gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold clings to gains just below $5,200, focus on geopolitics

Gold is edging modestly higher on Thursday, adding to Wednesday’s uptick and holding just below the $5,200 mark per troy ounce against the backdrop of modest gains in the US Dollar. In the meantime, attention is turning to the geopolitical scenario following US-Iran nuclear talks.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

The one thing everyone is on the lookout for is US action of some sort against Iran

The FX market is minestrone soup these days. It is befuddled by conflicting data, rumors and small stories exaggerated out of proportion, and Trump-generated uncertainty. 

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.