|

USD/CHF retreats to 0.9670 area despite broad-based USD strength

  • Upbeat employment report boosts USD on Friday.
  • Trade worries weigh on the market sentiment.
  • USD/CHF remains on track to close the third straight week with losses.

After touching its lowest level in more than four months at 0.9640, the USD/CHF pair staged a sharp recovery in the early NA session and advanced to a new daily high at 0.9685. However, the pair failed to preserve its bullish momentum and retraced a portion of its gains. At the moment, the pair is still up 0.15% on the day at 0.9666.

A strengthening greenback following the upbeat NFP report seemed to be the primary catalyst behind the pair upsurge today. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the total nonfarm employment rose by 201,000 in August to surpass the market consensus of 191K. Moreover, the wage inflation grew 0.4% on a monthly basis in August to lift the annual rate up to 2.9% from 2.7%. With the initial reaction to the data, the US Dollar Index rose to 95.35 before pulling back a little. At the moment, the index is up 0.25% on the day at 95.27.

However, a lack of progress on the trade talks between China and the U.S. continue to weigh on the market sentiment, which makes it easy for the safe-haven CHF to stay resilient against other currencies. In an interview with CNBC, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said that the United States' demands of China have not been satisfied and added that China could find itself more isolated if the negotiations failed.

Technical levels to consider

The pair could face the first resistance at 0.9730 (200-DMA) ahead of 0.9800 (psychological level/20-DMA) and 0.9890 (50-DMA). On the downside, supports are located at 0.9640 (daily low), 0.9580 (Apr. 16 low) and 0.9500 (psychological level).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).