|

USD/CHF retreats from 0.9300 on weakening safe-haven appeal amid easing Russia-Ukraine tensions

  • USD/CHF retreated from 0.9300 on a positive undertone in the market amid ceasefire expectations.
  • The DXY is settling below 98.00 despite the expectations of an aggressive interest rate hike.
  • Investors will focus on stipulations by Russia in a ceasefire scenario during Putin-Zelenskyy peace talks.

The USD/CHF pair attracted significant offers near 0.9300 as investors shifted to risk-perceived assets on easing Russia-Ukraine tensions. Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has agreed to a diplomatic situation for a ceasefire and a halt on the ongoing slaughter of Ukraine's economy.  

Earlier, investors preferred the greenback against the Swiss franc on the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine war. The situation got worsened when the US prohibited Russian oil imports. The decision was supported by the Western allies as per their current capacity to co-operate. However, the gesture of compromise by Zelenskyy to save its arena has brought a win-win situation for the market. Risk-sensitive assets have found bids and positions in safe-haven assets have been trimmed after a juggernaut rally.

The Ukraine President has agreed to withdraw its membership application to NATO. Now investors will focus on stipulations to be dictated by the Kremlin upon agreement of a truce with Ukraine.

Meanwhile, focus shifts to the US dollar index (DXY), which looks to settle below 98.00 amid the weakening appeal of safe-haven assets. Investors are expecting an interest rate decision of 50 basis points (bps) hike in the March monetary policy meeting. To comply with the soaring inflation, Federal Reserve (Fed) may not take the bullet this time and gung ho on the restriction of liquidity injection in the economy.

The headlines from the Russia-Ukraine war still hold importance for the FX domain despite a highly likely ceasefire between the nations. Adding to that, investors will also focus on US Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers and Initial Jobless Claims, which are due on Thursday. While the Swiss docket will report Trade Balance later next week.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD picks up bids above 0.7100 after RBA-speak

AUD/USD picks up bids above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Tuesday, following hawkish comments from RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter and Governor Michele Bullock. However, escalating tensions in the Middle East and the Fed's hawkish outlook remain supportive of the bullish US Dollar undertone, which could limit the pair. The crucial Trump-Xi summit is later this week and remains in focus.

USD/JPY holds small gains near 157.50 as JPY intervention risks loom

USD/JPY posts modest gains while trading near 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday as intervention fears help limit losses for the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish rate hike to a 31-year high keeps JPY bulls on the back foot. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a bullish undertone amid the Fed's hawkish outlook and escalating Middle East tensions, providing tailwinds for the pair.

Gold makes a U-turn; focus shifts to $4,400

Gold regains balance and now trades with decent gains, approaching the key $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The yellow metal’s advance comes despite the resumption of the buying interest in the US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and geopolitical uncertainty.

Trump meets Xi: Why markets are watching this summit so closely

US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are set to meet in Washington on Thursday for a summit closely watched by markets. The meeting could determine whether the world's two largest economies extend their truce or enter a new period of uncertainty.

Energy and risk markets remain in the driver’s seat
US stock markets rallied up 2.26% (Nasdaq) yesterday with AI/tech names leading the advance. The Nasdaq even tested the all-time high reached early June. The likes of the S&P 500 and EuroStoxx50 recovered up to 1.5%. Positive risk vibes and lower energy prices supported consolidation on bond markets following the past month’s heavy losses. European yield curves bull steepened.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.