|

USD/CHF retraces the intraday losses ahead of US data, trades around 0.8930

  • USD/CHF experienced gains but is still remaining under pressure ahead of US economic data.
  • Swiss inflation indicator showed a reduction in producer and import costs.
  • US upbeat CPI data contributed support for the USD/CHF pair.

USD/CHF has almost recovered from the intraday losses, trading around 0.8930 during the European session on Thursday. However, the pair remains under pressure ahead of more economic data releases from the United States (US) scheduled to be released later in the North American session.

US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo is scheduled to meet on Tuesday with the CEOs of major American corporations, following her recent visit to China. This renewed tension in the US-China trade relationship could potentially influence the trader to buy safe-haven assets like the Swiss Franc (CHF).

Federal Statistical Office of Switzerland released Producer and Import Prices (Aug) on Thursday. The Swiss inflation indicator showed a decline of 0.2% on the monthly rate, against the expected hike of 0.1% and the previous reading of 0.1% decline. While the yearly rate showed a decline of 0.8% against the previous fall of 0.6%.

Moreover, the USD/CHF pair registered gains on the previous day, which could be attributed to the US upbeat Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.

US inflation figures rose to 3.7% on the annual rate from the previous rate of 3.2%, exceeding the market's anticipated rate of 3.6% for August. Additionally, the monthly core Consumer Price Index (CPI) improved to 0.3% from the 0.2% prior, contrasting with the market expectations of remaining unchanged.

However, the annual core inflation rate held steady at the expected rate of 4.3%, marking a decrease from the previous 4.7%. The inflation report suggests that while overall inflation might be moderating, the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) remains relatively unchanged.

Investors appear to be pricing in the likelihood of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) maintaining a dovish stance in its September meeting, which may exert pressure in undermining the US Dollar (USD).

CME FedWatch Tool suggests a 40% chance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) implementing a 25 basis points (bps) rate hike in November. Investors are becoming more cautious regarding the potential for such a move as they evaluate the changing economic overview and Fed communications.

US Dollar Index (DXY) is paring back some of its earlier losses and trading around 104.70. This rebound in DXY is being supported by a recovery in US Treasury yields, with the yield on the 10-year US bond rising to 4.26% by the press time.

Market participants will likely watch the release of the Core Producer Price Index (PPI) and Retail Sales figures for August from the United States. These economic indicators have the potential to offer valuable insights into the state of economic activity in the nation, which could influence trading decisions and market sentiment.

USD/CHF: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.8931
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open0.8937
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8852
Daily SMA500.8774
Daily SMA1000.888
Daily SMA2000.9046
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8952
Previous Daily Low0.8907
Previous Weekly High0.8945
Previous Weekly Low0.8833
Previous Monthly High0.8876
Previous Monthly Low0.869
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8935
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8924
Daily Pivot Point S10.8912
Daily Pivot Point S20.8887
Daily Pivot Point S30.8867
Daily Pivot Point R10.8957
Daily Pivot Point R20.8977
Daily Pivot Point R30.9002

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains offered below 1.1600, seems vulnerable near multi-month low

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1530 region, or the lowest level since November 2025, and lower for the third consecutive day on Wednesday. Spot prices slide back below the 1.1600 mark during the Asian session and seem vulnerable to slide further.

GBP/USD weakens to near 1.3300 as geopolitical risks bolster US Dollar

The GBP/USD pair attracts some sellers to around 1.3310 during the early European session on Wednesday. Escalating conflict in the Middle East triggers a "flight to safety," supporting the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Traders will take more cues from the US ADP Employment and ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index reports, which are due later on Wednesday. 

Gold sticks to intraday gains above $5,150; upside seems limited amid bullish USD

Gold preserves its modest intraday gains through the Asian session on Wednesday and currently trades just above the $5,150 level, up around 1.30% for the day. Investors remain concerned about a prolonged conflict in the Middle East and its impact on the global economy amid an already uncertain environment. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple struggle for direction as consolidation persists

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple prices trade with a cautious tone at the time of writing on Wednesday as upside momentum continues to fade across the broader crypto market. BTC remains within a parallel channel, ETH struggles below key resistance, while XRP remains fragile within a descending channel. These top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization continue to struggle to establish a directional bias amid the consolidation phase.

When rates start driving the bus through a war zone

The volatility regime itself is also changing character. EM carry trades thrive in calm markets. They suffocate in environments that resemble Buckaroo Banzai trading conditions, where headlines move faster than models. That is exactly the world investors are now trying to recalibrate to. Euro rate volatility had been remarkably subdued even while equities were wobbling. That stability is now being questioned, and once volatility leaks into rates it rarely stays contained. Indeed, carry trades love calm seas. War turns the ocean into white water.

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.