|

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Steady near 0.8050, awaiting NFP data

  • USD/CHF trades at 0.8056, stuck between 0.8050–0.8100 range as buyers and sellers lack clear control.
  • Bears eye 0.7985 August low for downside extension, while bulls target 0.8104 and 100-day SMA at 0.8123.
  • RSI hovers at neutral 50; Nonfarm Payrolls seen as decisive trigger for next directional breakout.

The USD/CHF remains steady at around the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 0.8051, consolidates at around the 0.8050-0.8100 figure for the fourth straight day. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 0.8056 up 0.01%.

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Price action shows that neither buyers nor sellers are in control as the USD/CHF meanders around 0.8050. Worth noting that to resume the downtrend, bears must clear the August 29 low of 0.7985 In orders to drop and challenge July 23 low of 0.7911.

On the other hand, bulls reclaim the August 22 high of 0.8104 and look for a rally toward the 100-day SMA at 0.8123.

From a momentum standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) adds to the ongoing confusion, standing near the 50 neutral line, without providing clues on who’s winning the battle: the bulls or the bears.

Given that conclusion, traders should wait for a catalyst, before opening fresh bets in the USD/CHF pair. With Nonfarm Payroll figures to be released, an upbeat report could warrant further upside on the pair. Otherwise, hints of jobs market weakness suggests that the Federal Reserve could ease policy, a sign cheered by the bears.

USD/CHF Price Chart – Daily

USD/CHF daily chart

Swiss Franc Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Swiss Franc (CHF) against listed major currencies this week. Swiss Franc was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.40%0.47%0.99%0.61%0.44%0.74%0.80%
EUR-0.40%0.06%0.52%0.21%0.03%0.33%0.39%
GBP-0.47%-0.06%0.36%0.15%-0.03%0.28%0.37%
JPY-0.99%-0.52%-0.36%-0.31%-0.54%-0.22%-0.18%
CAD-0.61%-0.21%-0.15%0.31%-0.16%0.12%0.21%
AUD-0.44%-0.03%0.03%0.54%0.16%0.30%0.39%
NZD-0.74%-0.33%-0.28%0.22%-0.12%-0.30%0.09%
CHF-0.80%-0.39%-0.37%0.18%-0.21%-0.39%-0.09%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Swiss Franc from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CHF (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP extends recovery as on-chain activity grows
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.