|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Subdued around 0.9635, despite forming a bearish-harami candle pattern

  • USD/CHF exchanges hands under its opening price, despite recovering from daily lows.
  • The USD/CHF is range-bound through a break of the top of the range will pave the way above the 0.9700 figure; otherwise, a fall towards 0.9550 is on the cards.

The USD/CHF drops into negative territory after refreshing five-week highs around 0.9650s, courtesy of broad US dollar weakness across the board, amidst an upbeat market mood. After hitting a daily high at 0.9626, the USD/CHF dived below the 50-day EMA at 0.9612, the day’s lows, before jumping to current price levels. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF trades at 0.9645, below its opening price.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

A bearish-harami candle chart pattern emerged in the USD/CHF daily chart. Even though the pattern has bearish implications, oscillators and moving averages (MAs) portray the opposite. Albeit the RSI has a downslope, it remains in positive territory. Meanwhile, all the daily Exponential Moving Averages are below the USD/CHF spot price, suggesting that buyers are in charge.

In the near term, the USD/CHF one-hour chart depicts the pair as range-bound within the 0.9603-0.9692 area for the last three days. Further confirmation of the previously mentioned is that the 20, 50, and 100 exponential moving averages (EMAs), are located within the 0.9632-46 area. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 52 is almost flat.

Therefore, if the USD/CHF breaks above the range, the first resistance would be the 0.9700 figure. Once cleared, the next resistance would be the R2 daily pivot at 0.9733, followed by 0.9800. On the flip side, the USD/CHF first support would be the 0.9600 mark, followed by the confluence of the 200-EMA and the S2 pivot at 0.9570, and then the August 19 daily low at 0.9553.

USD/CHF Key Technical

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9646
Today Daily Change-0.0020
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open0.9666
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9543
Daily SMA500.9622
Daily SMA1000.9656
Daily SMA2000.9447
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9688
Previous Daily Low0.9608
Previous Weekly High0.9598
Previous Weekly Low0.9409
Previous Monthly High0.9886
Previous Monthly Low0.9502
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9657
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9638
Daily Pivot Point S10.962
Daily Pivot Point S20.9574
Daily Pivot Point S30.954
Daily Pivot Point R10.97
Daily Pivot Point R20.9734
Daily Pivot Point R30.978

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold meets resistance around $4,400

Gold kicks in the new trading with on the back foot, keeping its trade near $4,350 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s correction comes on the back of the firmer US Dollar and espite declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin hits $85,000 for the first time in eight months
Bitcoin price reclaims $85,000 on Monday, advancing last week’s 5% recovery toward an eight-month high. The recovery in King Crypto aligns with renewed institutional demand, with Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording $433 million in inflows on Friday.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.