USD/CHF Price Analysis: Struggles at around 0.8900 amid USD weakness, low volatility

USD/CHF trades at 0.8908, unable to break the 0.9000 level.
50 and 200-day Moving Averages (DMAs) indicate a lack of trend, staying flat at 0.8774 and 0.9048, respectively.
Short-term, technical outlook suggests a neutral to bearish bias, with key support level at around 0.8900.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

The Greenback (USD) lost ground versus the Swiss Franc (CHF) after developments during the Asian session weakened the former. China’s positive data, mainly inflation back at positive territory, and hawkish words from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda spurred USD weakness. Hence, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.8908 after hitting a daily high of 0.8926.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

During the last four trading days, the USD/CHF has remained at around the 0.8900 figure, unable to threaten the 0.9000 figure, as volatility keeps the pair consolidating at around a 40 pip range. It should be said the 50 and 200-day Moving Averages (DMAs) turned flat, with the former below price action at 0.8774, while the latter stays at a bearish position at 0.9048, indicating the lack of a trend. However, price action shows a higher series of peaks and throughs but at the expense of an increase in volatility that could break the trading range.

The USD/CHF one-hour chart portrays the pair as neutral to bearish biased, as price action sits below the 50-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.8916. However, to reinforce the bias, sellers must crack the September 8 daily low of 0.8895 to challenge the next support area, seen at the September 6 daily low of 0.8881. Once cleared, the next stop would be the 200-hour SMA at 0.8871, followed by the September 5 low of 0.8819. Contrarily, the first resistance is seen at the 50-hour SMA at 0.8916, followed by the September 8 daily high of 0.8936.

USD/CHF Hourly chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price	0.8907
Today Daily Change	-0.0023
Today Daily Change %	-0.26
Today daily open	0.893

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.8832
Daily SMA50	0.8777
Daily SMA100	0.8879
Daily SMA200	0.9053

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.8937
Previous Daily Low	0.8895
Previous Weekly High	0.8945
Previous Weekly Low	0.8833
Previous Monthly High	0.8876
Previous Monthly Low	0.869
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.8921
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.8911
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.8904
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.8879
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.8862
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.8946
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.8962
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.8988

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold: Sellers test $4,350 on renewed USD upside

Gold kicks off the new week on a weaker note following Friday's failure near the $4,400 mark. The commodity currently trades near the $4,350 level as traders await further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis and their implications for inflation. This would influence interest rate expectations and, in turn, drive the non-yielding bullion.

Dogecoin extends gains as ETF inflows return and momentum improves

Dogecoin extends its recovery, trading above $0.088 after gaining nearly 6% last week. The bullish price outlook is supported by the return of institutional demand through DOGE spot Exchange Traded Funds. Meanwhile, improving momentum indicators and signs of whale accumulation suggest a positive outlook for the dog-themed meme coin.

Economics week ahead

This week is light on the domestic data front, with focus on Thursday's new home sales report. We expect sales to partially recover in August, rising 2.6% to a 623K pace after a sharp decline in July. Higher mortgage rates continue to weigh on affordability and demand, though builder incentives remained in place and conditions did not worsen materially during the month.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.