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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Jumps after hitting a YTD low on RSI-Price action divergence

  • USD/CHF may be headed for an upward correction despite touching new lows.
  • If buyers reclaim the 20-Day EMA at 0.8955, further upside is expected in the USD/CHF pair.
  • USD/CHF at a brisk of falling towards 0.8800, once it falls beneath 0.8819.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) strengthened to a new high of the year against the US Dollar (USD), as the USD/CHF dropped towards 0.8819, the year-to-date (YTD) low, as risk aversion hit the markets. Nevertheless, the USD shrugged off its earlier losses, and the USD/CHF pair reversed its course, holding gains. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.8858 and has gained 0.20%.

USD/CHF Price Action

Although the pair touched new lows, and the USD/CHF price action fell to a lower low, technically speaking, the USD/CHF might be headed for an upward correction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is in bearish territory, though it has printed a series of successive higher troughs on each USD/CHF’s lower low. Therefore, a positive divergence is emerging, which could pave the way for further upside.

For that outcome to happen, USD/CHF buyers must reclaim the 20-day EMA at 0.8955. Once cleared, the pair must rally above the May 2 high, at around 0.9000. A decisive break of the figure would expose another resistance level at the 50-day EMA at 0.9067 before buyers can claim 0.9100.

Conversely, if USD/CHF collapses below 0.8819, a fall towards 0.8800 is on the cards.

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8858
Today Daily Change0.0020
Today Daily Change %0.23
Today daily open0.8838
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8955
Daily SMA500.9136
Daily SMA1000.9192
Daily SMA2000.9437
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8932
Previous Daily Low0.8833
Previous Weekly High0.8976
Previous Weekly Low0.8852
Previous Monthly High0.9198
Previous Monthly Low0.8852
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8871
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8894
Daily Pivot Point S10.8803
Daily Pivot Point S20.8769
Daily Pivot Point S30.8704
Daily Pivot Point R10.8902
Daily Pivot Point R20.8967
Daily Pivot Point R30.9001

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
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