|

USD/CHF posts small daily losses below 0.9200

  • USD/CHF is falling for the eighth straight day on Tuesday.
  • DXY recovery remains shallow amid falling US T-bond yields.
  • Focus shifts to Consumer Confidence data from the US.

The USD/CHF pair closed the seventh straight day in the negative territory on Monday and continued to push lower on Tuesday. As of writing, the pair was down 0.16% on a daily basis at 0.9182.

USD recovery remains incosistent

The broad-based USD weakness combined with the risk-averse environment continues to weigh on USD/CHF. Although the US Dollar Index (DXY) seems to have found support following Monday's sharp drop, it struggles to make a decisive rebound amid falling Treasury bond yields. At the moment, the DXY is up 0.06% on the day at 93.71 and the 10-year T-bond yield is losing more than 1%. Later in the day, the US Conference Board will publish its monthly Consumer Confidence Index data.

On the other hand, investors stay cautious with new coronavirus hotspots emerging in Europe and help the CHF preserve its strength. At the moment, Germany's DAX 30 is down 0.6% on the day and the Euro Stoxx 50 is losing 0.35%. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures are falling 0.4% to suggest that Wall Street is likely to open the day in the negative territory. 

Later in the week, investors will be paying close attention to the FOMC's monetary policy announcements. Previewing this event, “a commitment to increase QE if balance sheet shrinkage was to persist given the poor take-up of lending programs could also be considered," said MUFG economists. "Some of these ideas may be touched on in the Q&A but overall we would expect a strong message of the need for continued stimulus.”

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9182
Today Daily Change-0.0018
Today Daily Change %-0.20
Today daily open0.92
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9383
Daily SMA500.9493
Daily SMA1000.9586
Daily SMA2000.9688
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.923
Previous Daily Low0.9166
Previous Weekly High0.941
Previous Weekly Low0.9204
Previous Monthly High0.9651
Previous Monthly Low0.9376
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9191
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9206
Daily Pivot Point S10.9167
Daily Pivot Point S20.9135
Daily Pivot Point S30.9103
Daily Pivot Point R10.9231
Daily Pivot Point R20.9263
Daily Pivot Point R30.9295

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.