|

USD/CHF hangs near 3-week lows, just a few pips above 0.9800 handle

  • Bulls fail to capitalize on the early uptick, despite a combination of supporting factors.
  • The USD underpinned by tempered expectations for aggressive Fed rate cut in July.
  • The positive mood around equities does little to impress the bulls or lend any support.

The USD/CHF pair dropped to fresh session lows in the last hour, back closer to near three-week lows set on Friday, with bears now eyeing a follow-through weakness below the 0.9800 handle.

The pair failed to capitalize on its early uptick to an intraday high level of 0.9841, rather met with some fresh supply and drifted lower through the mid-European session on Monday. The intraday downtick remained unaffected by a follow-through US Dollar uptick and largely shrugged off the prevalent positive mood around equity markets.

The greenback continued gaining some follow-through traction on the back of tempered expectations for a 50 bps Fed rate cut, especially after St. Louis Fed President James Bullard on Friday said that the current US economic condition doesn't warrant a larger cut.

Meanwhile, improving global risk sentiment – as depicted by modest gains across European equities and which tends to undermine demand for the Swiss Franc’s safe-haven demand, also did little to impress the bulls or provide any meaningful impetus to the major.

Despite the pullback, the pair has managed to hold its neck just above the 0.9800 handle. In absence of any major market-moving economic releases, the pair seems more likely to consolidate in a range as investors look forward to the highly anticipated FOMC monetary policy meeting on July 30-31.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9812
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open0.9818
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9845
Daily SMA500.9935
Daily SMA1001.0001
Daily SMA2000.9981
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9847
Previous Daily Low0.9806
Previous Weekly High0.9908
Previous Weekly Low0.9806
Previous Monthly High1.0017
Previous Monthly Low0.9693
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9831
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9822
Daily Pivot Point S10.98
Daily Pivot Point S20.9782
Daily Pivot Point S30.9759
Daily Pivot Point R10.9842
Daily Pivot Point R20.9865
Daily Pivot Point R30.9883

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold picks pace, flirts with $5,000

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and pushing higher towards the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.