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USD/CHF finds support near 0.9800 as USD gathers strength ahead of data

  • US Dollar Index posts modest daily gains above 97.70.
  • 10-year US Treasury bond yield pares early losses.
  • Coming up: Chicago Fed National Activity Index and Durable Goods Orders from US.

After touching its lowest level since late August at 0.9768 last Thursday, the USD/CHF pair staged a decisive rebound on Friday fueled by the broad-based USD strength and closed the week virtually unchanged at 0.9828. Although the pair edged lower at the start of the new week, it reversed its course after testing the 0.9800 handle. As of writing, the pair was down 0.08% on the day at 0.9818.

Reports of Chinese President Xi accusing the United States of interfering with its internal affairs weighed on the market sentiment at the start of the week. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield turned south during the first half of the day and major European equity indexes painted a mixed picture.

However, with the market activity staying subdued ahead of the Christmas break, the risk sentiment turned neutral as well and allowed the 10-year US T-bond yield to erase its early losses.

Eyes on US data

Additionally, the US Dollar Index inched higher following a technical correction during the early European trading hours to help the pair retrace its drop. Ahead of Durable Good Orders, Chicago Fed National Activity Index and New Home Sales data from the US, the index is at its highest level in more than two weeks at 97.76, adding 0.08% on the day.

Previewing Durable Goods Orders report, “A rebound in auto orders following the end of the GM strike was probably more than offset by a plunge in the especially volatile aircraft component," said TD Securities analysts. "We expect little change in both ex-transportation and core capex orders. Surveys have generally been signaling stalling rather than dramatic weakening in underlying trends.”

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9816
Today Daily Change-0.0001
Today Daily Change %-0.01
Today daily open0.9817
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9881
Daily SMA500.9901
Daily SMA1000.9884
Daily SMA2000.9934
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.983
Previous Daily Low0.9777
Previous Weekly High0.9847
Previous Weekly Low0.9769
Previous Monthly High1.0024
Previous Monthly Low0.985
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.981
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9797
Daily Pivot Point S10.9786
Daily Pivot Point S20.9755
Daily Pivot Point S30.9733
Daily Pivot Point R10.9839
Daily Pivot Point R20.9862
Daily Pivot Point R30.9893

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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