|

USD/CHF fighting back towards 0.9100 as Swiss Franc tries to pump the brakes

  • The USD/CHF in dropping into new daily lows near 0.9140.
  • CHF bidders are looking to rebound from consistent declines against the USD.
  • The trading week is set to be capped off by US Dollar flows heading into Friday's NFP.

The USD/CHF is extending a rebound from recent highs as CHF bulls are set to push the Swiss Franc (CHF) back to the 0.9100 handle against the US Dollar (USD). 

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) delivered a rapid-fire five consecutive rate hikes this year, and now the Swiss central bank is set to hold steady as it surveys the results of its labors.

Switzerland is now poised as the pre-eminent recovery case for the European Union (EU), with the Swiss economy sporting one of the lowest inflation rates in the world and the SNB stands tall as one of the few central banks with inflation measures below their target range of 0-2%.

Swiss inflation fell 0.1% in September, and annualized inflation measured 1.7%, far below the EU's average 4.3% inflation for the same period.

Analysts call for further Franc firmness ahead

Analysts at MUFG are expecting Swiss Franc strength to continue looking forward on the back of wobbly global economic growth.

Franc strength to be more evident against the US Dollar in 2024 – MUFG

On the US side, Initial Jobless Claims stumped expectations, coming in at a forecast-beating 207K versus the 210K expected. The previous jobless claims reading was revised upwards from 204K to 205K.

Next up, traders will be looking ahead to Friday's US Non-Farm Payrolls. NFP is forecast to print at 170K this month, compared to the previous reading of 187K.

USD/CHF technical outlook

The USD/CHF is down 0.40% or just under 40 pips in Thursday's trading, slipping further back from the recent highs near 0.9250. The Franc has fallen significantly against the US Dollar in recent history, and the Greenback has climbed over 8% against the CHF from the last bottom at 0.8550.

The trick for USD/CHF bidders will be to establish a bullish continuation should bids fall back to the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 0.0925, while sellers will want to make a decisive break of the same level and push past the 100-day SMA near 0.8900.

USD/CHF daily chart

USD/CHF technical levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9138
Today Daily Change-0.0034
Today Daily Change %-0.37
Today daily open0.9172
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9048
Daily SMA500.8893
Daily SMA1000.8904
Daily SMA2000.9029
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9232
Previous Daily Low0.9144
Previous Weekly High0.9225
Previous Weekly Low0.9061
Previous Monthly High0.9225
Previous Monthly Low0.8795
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9178
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9199
Daily Pivot Point S10.9133
Daily Pivot Point S20.9094
Daily Pivot Point S30.9045
Daily Pivot Point R10.9222
Daily Pivot Point R20.9272
Daily Pivot Point R30.9311

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold starts week on the back foot as US Dollar holds firm, Oil decline limits losses

Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a bearish note, snapping a two-day winning streak as expectations of additional Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes and a firmer US Dollar (USD) limit the upside.

Bitcoin hits $85,000 for the first time in eight months
Bitcoin price reclaims $85,000 on Monday, advancing last week’s 5% recovery toward an eight-month high. The recovery in King Crypto aligns with renewed institutional demand, with Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording $433 million in inflows on Friday.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.