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USD/CHF eases from daily top as USD pares intraday gains, up a little around 0.9030 area

  • USD/CHF gains some positive traction on Thursday, albeit lacks follow-through.
  • The USD trims a part of its intraday gains and acts as a headwind for the major.
  • The Fed’s hawkish outlook favours the USD and should lend support to the pair.

The USD/CHF pair builds on the previous day's late rebound from over a three-week low and gains some positive traction on Thursday, albeit struggles to capitalize on the move beyond mid-0.9000s. Spot prices retreat a few pips from the daily low and trade around the 0.9030 region, up over 0.20% during the first half of the European session.

The US Dollar (USD) trims a part of strong intraday gains and for now, seems to have stalled its recovery move from a one-month low touched on Wednesday, which, in turn, is seen acting as a headwind for the USD/CHF pair. Apart from this, a softer risk tone benefits the safe-haven Swiss Franc (CHF) and further contributes to capping the upside for the major. The market sentiment remains fragile in the wake of worries about a global economic slowdown, particularly in China. The fears were further fueled by disappointing Chinese macro data released earlier today, which tempers investors' appetite for riskier assets and largely overshadows a move by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) to cut rates on its medium-term loans.

The downside for the USD, meanwhile, seems cushioned on the back of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) more hawkish outlook, signalling that borrowing costs may still need to rise by as much as 50 bps by the end of this year. In fact, the so-called "dot plot" indicated that officials now see rates peaking at 5.6% this year, higher than March's projection of 5.1%. Furthermore, the Fed now sees slightly stronger economic growth and forecasts the economy to expand by 1% this year — up from the 0.4% rise projected in May — before rising 1.1% in 2024 and 1.8% in 2025. This triggers a fresh leg up in the US Treasury bond yields, which might continue to lend some support to the Greenback and the USD/CHF pair, at least for the time being.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of monthly Retail Sales, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, the Empire State Manufacturing Index, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and Industrial Production. This, along with the US bond yields, will influence the USD price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the USD/CHF pair later during the early North American session. Traders will further take cues from the broader risk sentiment to grab short-term opportunities. The aforementioned fundamental backdrop, meanwhile, now seems tilted in favour of bullish traders.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9032
Today Daily Change0.0020
Today Daily Change %0.22
Today daily open0.9012
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9048
Daily SMA500.8987
Daily SMA1000.9115
Daily SMA2000.9347
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.906
Previous Daily Low0.8966
Previous Weekly High0.912
Previous Weekly Low0.8984
Previous Monthly High0.9148
Previous Monthly Low0.882
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9002
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9024
Daily Pivot Point S10.8965
Daily Pivot Point S20.8918
Daily Pivot Point S30.887
Daily Pivot Point R10.906
Daily Pivot Point R20.9108
Daily Pivot Point R30.9155

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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