|

USD/CHF corrects to near 0.8040 as US Dollar’s rally hits pause

  • USD/CHF ticks down to near 0.8040 as the US Dollar struggles to extend its upside.
  • Fed’s Hammack stated that the US NFP data for September was a “bit stale”.
  • Investors await SNB Maryin Schlegel’s speech at 12:40 GMT.

The USD/CHF pair retraces to near 0.8040 during the late Asian trading session on Friday from its weekly high of 0.8078 posted the previous day. The Swiss Franc pair struggles to extend its upside move as THE rally in the US Dollar (USD) halts after the release of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for September on Thursday.

The US Dollar had a strong run-up as traders pared bets supporting an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in its December policy meeting.

At the press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades subduedly around 100.15 after revisiting an over five-month high of 100.65 the previous day.

The US NFP data showed that the Unemployment Rate rose to 4.4% against expectations and the prior release of 4.3%, and employers laid off 4K workers in August. However, job creation in September remained robust as the economy added a fresh 119K workers, beating estimates of 50K.

Theoretically, the impact of the US NFP data on the US Dollar and expectations for the Fed’s monetary policy outlook remains significant. However, it is expected to be limited this time as the data belongs to September and not to October.

On Thursday, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack stated that the employment data is a “bit stale” and stressed to focus on bringing inflation down. "Jobs report is a bit stale but is in line with expectations, while high inflation is still a real issue for the economy,” Hammack said.

Meanwhile, the Swiss Franc (CHF) trades firmly ahead of the speech from Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Martin Schlegel at 12:40 GMT. Investors will pay close attention to SNB Schlegel’s speech to get cues about when inflationary pressures will start rebounding after remaining significantly lower for months.

Economic Indicator

Unemployment Rate

The Unemployment Rate, released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), is the percentage of the total civilian labor force that is not in paid employment but is actively seeking employment. The rate is usually higher in recessionary economies compared to economies that are growing. Generally, a decrease in the Unemployment Rate is seen as bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while an increase is seen as bearish. That said, the number by itself usually can't determine the direction of the next market move, as this will also depend on the headline Nonfarm Payroll reading, and the other data in the BLS report.

Read more.

Last release: Thu Nov 20, 2025 13:30

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 4.4%

Consensus: 4.3%

Previous: 4.3%

Source:

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD surrenders some gains, back to 1.3420

GBP/USD holds on to moderate gains above 1.3400 the figure on Friday. Optimism surrounding the UK government’s leadership transition and expectations of further BoE tightening support the British Pound, while easing tensions in the Middle East and fading Fed rate-hike expectations weigh on the US Dollar.

EUR/USD turns positive, targets 1.1450

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances toward the 1.1440 region on Friday, up modestly for the day. With no major economic data due, lingering uncertainty over the US-Iran conflict keeps investors cautious, limiting the pair's upside.

Gold remains offered, still below $4,100

Gold struggles to extend Thursday’s rebound and navigates below the $4,100 mark per troy ounce on Friday. Uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict limits the precious metal’s upside, which is also under pressure amid rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Week ahead – US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.