USD/CHF capped again by 1.0025, retreats below parity


  • Swiss Franc flat versus US Dollar, down against its European rivals. 
  • Another weak economic report from the US keeps the Greenback and markets under pressure. 

The USD/CHF pair again was capped by the 1.0025/30 area and pulled back. Near the end of the session it is hovering around 0.9980/85 after falling to 0.9950. 

The Greenback weakened after US data and then recovered ground modestly. Despite rising against the US dollar, the Swiss Franc was the worst during the American session among European currencies. The bounce in equity prices favored other currencies. 

“The highlight of the session was the US ISM services, which dropped more than expected to
a three-year low in September (52.6, consensus 55, prior 56.4). Growth in orders and business activity slowed abruptly, while the employment gauge registered its weakest print in more than five years. Elsewhere, the Eurozone’s September services PMI was downwardly revised (51.6, consensus 52, prior 52), suggesting that the downturn is spreading from manufacturing to services as the private sector stagnates. However, Italy’s services PMI remained strong in September as its business confidence increases”, explained BBVA analysts. 

They added that the gloomy US economic outlook “increased market expectations of an additional Fed rate cut by the end of October from 73% to 90%, whereas two additional cuts by the end of this year remains high (65%).” Those expectations weight on the US Dollar. 

Technical outlook 

Price continues to move within an ascendant channel with a key support around 0.9890 where the 100-day moving average also stands. Before that level, the 20-day SMA near 0.9920 is likely to offer support. 

On the upside, USD/CHF continues to be unable to consolidate on top of 1.0000 and remains capped by 1.0025/30. A firm break above 1.0030 would clear the way to more gains targeting 1.0055. 

 

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.9983
Today Daily Change 0.0015
Today Daily Change % 0.15
Today daily open 0.9968
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9919
Daily SMA50 0.9859
Daily SMA100 0.989
Daily SMA200 0.995
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0027
Previous Daily Low 0.9921
Previous Weekly High 0.995
Previous Weekly Low 0.9843
Previous Monthly High 0.9988
Previous Monthly Low 0.9797
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9987
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9961
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9917
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9866
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9811
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0023
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0078
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0129

 

 

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