|

USD/CHF attracts some buyers below the 0.9000 barrier, Fed’s Powell speech, Swiss trade data eyed

  • USD/CHF gains momentum around 0.8993 amid a rise of US Treasury bond yields, firmer USD.
  • The Fed Beige Book update showed the US economic outlook had "little to no change" between September and early October.
  • The escalating tension in the Middle East might lift the Swiss Franc (CHF).
  • Investors will monitor the Fed’s Powell speech, Swiss trade data on Thursday.

The USD/CHF pair posts modest gains below the 0.9000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Thursday. The recovery of the pair is supported by a rise in US Treasury yields and a firmer US Dollar (USD). Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) surges to 106.63. US Treasury yields edge higher, with the 10-year Treasury yield climbing to 4.965%, the highest level since 2007, and the 2-year Treasury yield staying at 5.251%.

On Wednesday, Federal Reserve (Fed) officials reaffirmed their stance to maintain interest rates at their current level. The Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated that it's too early to tell if more policy rate action is needed while adding that the central bank can make the decision on policy path depending on the data. While Fed Bank of New York John Williams said the central bank needs restrictive monetary policy for a while to cool inflation. These comments lift the US bond yields higher amid robust momentum in US growth.

The US Building Permits fell to 1.475M in September, above the estimated of 1.45M, while Housing Starts rose to 1.35M, below the market consensus of 1.38M, data published by the US Census Bureau showed Wednesday. Additionally, the Fed Beige Book update showed the US economic outlook had "little to no change" between September and early October and the data might not convince the FOMC to abandon its current guidance.

On the Swiss Franc front, the rising geopolitical tension in the Middle East could boost the demand for a traditional safe-haven asset such as Swiss Franc (CHF). On Tuesday, Gaza authorities said an Israeli air attack killed 500 people at a hospital in the Palestinian territory, while Israel stated the damage was caused by a Palestinian attack. US President Joe Biden has reached an agreement with Egypt to provide limited aid to Gaza in order to alleviate a humanitarian catastrophe caused by the Israel-Hamas conflict.

Last week, the Swiss Producer and Import Prices fell 1.0% YoY in September from the previous reading of a 0.8% drop. On a monthly basis, the figures dropped 0.1% versus a 0.8% drop prior.

Traders will monitor the US Jobless Claims, the Philly Fed index, and Existing Home Sales due later on Thursday. All eyes will focus on the Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech in the North American session. If Powell delivers hawkish comments on the policy outlook, the US Dollar might attract buyers. Also, the Swiss trade data for September will be released on Thursday. These events could give a clear direction to the USD/CHF pair.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8992
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open0.8989
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9096
Daily SMA500.8954
Daily SMA1000.8904
Daily SMA2000.9018
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9009
Previous Daily Low0.8954
Previous Weekly High0.9124
Previous Weekly Low0.8987
Previous Monthly High0.9225
Previous Monthly Low0.8795
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8975
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8988
Daily Pivot Point S10.8959
Daily Pivot Point S20.893
Daily Pivot Point S30.8905
Daily Pivot Point R10.9014
Daily Pivot Point R20.9039
Daily Pivot Point R30.9068

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).