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USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.3485 loses steam above 1.3600

  • USD/CAD's recovery stalls below 1.3610.
  • The Canadian dollar pares losses on the back of a mild rebound in oil prices.
  • The lower US Treasury bonds are weighing on demand for the USD.

The US Dollar is treading water in the vicinity of 1.3600 on Thursday, following a solid recovery on Wednesday. The pair’s run-up from 1.3485 was capped at 1.3610 and has remained wavering on both sides of the 1.3600 level for most of the day.

The Canadian Dollar ticks up with oil prices trimming losses

The CAD is trimming losses, following its weakest daily performance in the last two weeks amid a moderate recovery in oil prices and the sluggish US Dollar’s performance in a choppy trading session.

Oil prices have appreciated about $1,5 during the European trading session, with the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude, picking up to $78.40 from session lows at $76.80, which might have offered some support to the commodity-linked CAD.

On the macroeconomic front, US initial Jobless Claims increased by 9.000 amounting to 225,000 in the week of December 24, with the 4-week moving average declining by 250 to 221,000 from the previous week, according to data released by the US Department of Labor.

These figures have failed to cheer a sluggish   US Dollar, which has tracked the slight decline in US Treasury bond yields. The US Dollar Index has confirmed its decline below the 104.00 level, reaching fresh intra-day lows at 103.66 so far.

The yield of the benchmark US 10-year bond is trading at 3.867% at the moment of writing, 1.5 basis points lower on the day after having opened the session 2.4% down. Investor’s concerns about a potential recession in the first quarter of 2023 and a likely slowdown on the Fed’s tightening cycle are weighing on US Dollar demand

Furthermore, news reports about the soaring COVID-19 cases in China and the escalating tensions in Ukraine after Kremlin’s refusal to accept Zelenski’s peace deal proposal have crushed the optimism witnessed earlier this week after China scrapped its restrictions for inbound travelers.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3578
Today Daily Change-0.0034
Today Daily Change %-0.25
Today daily open1.3612
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3598
Daily SMA501.3534
Daily SMA1001.3429
Daily SMA2001.3111
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3612
Previous Daily Low1.3486
Previous Weekly High1.3704
Previous Weekly Low1.3563
Previous Monthly High1.3808
Previous Monthly Low1.3226
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3564
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3534
Daily Pivot Point S11.3527
Daily Pivot Point S21.3443
Daily Pivot Point S31.3401
Daily Pivot Point R11.3654
Daily Pivot Point R21.3696
Daily Pivot Point R31.378

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

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