|

USD/CAD vulnerable around 1.2680/70, US PPI eyed

  • The Canadian Dollar keeps the firm note below 1.27 vs. the buck.
  • USD stays under pressure below the 90.00 handle gauged by DXY.
  • US Producer Prices, Canadian Housing Starts/Building Permits next on tap.

The Canadian Dollar is extending the upbeat momentum during the first half of the week vs. its American neighbor, taking USD/CAD to fresh lows in sub-1.2700 levels.

USD/CAD in 6-week lows

The pair is losing ground for the second consecutive session on Tuesday, all within the broader descent from 2018 peaks beyond 1.3100 the figure seen in March, coincident with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2017 drop (around 1.3130).

The softer tone in the greenback as of late, some cautious optimism around the NAFTA negotiations, healthy results from the latest report on the Canadian labour market and expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Canada in July have been all playing out in the past 4-5 weeks and continue to collaborate in the pair’s down move.

Looking ahead, Canadian Housing Starts and Building Permits are next on tap, seconded by US Producer Prices, all preceding tomorrow’s US CPI figures and the FOMC minutes.

USD/CAD significant levels

As of writing the index is retreating 0.17% at 1.2676 facing immediate contention at 1.2631 (200-day sma) followed by 1.2614 (low Feb.26) and finally 1.2248 (2018 low Jan.31). On the flip side, a surpass of 1.2722 (38.2% Fibo of the 2017 drop) would target 1.2810 (10-day sma) en route to 1.2894 (21-day sma).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to modest gains above 1.1700

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gains traction on Monday and edges higher toward 1.1750. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers and supports the pair as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD rises toward 1.3450 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD turns north on Monday and trades in positive territory well above 1.3400. The US Dollar (USD) stays on the back foot to begin the new week as investors adjust their positions before tomorrow's growth data, helping the pair stretch higher.

Gold notches record-high above $4,400 as geopolitical tensions escalate

Gold trades at a fresh all-time-high above $4,400 Monday, rising more than 1.5% on a daily basis. The potential for a re-escalation of the tensions in the Middle East on news of Israel planning to attack Iran allows Gold to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels at the time of writing on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels, which could signal the start of a short-term recovery.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.