|

USD/CAD trades with modest losses below 1.3400 amid rebounding oil prices, weaker USD

  • USD/CAD meets with some supply and extends the overnight pullback from the weekly high.
  • An uptick in oil prices underpins the Loonie and exerts pressure amid modest USD weakness.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations should help limit deeper USD losses and lend support to the major.

The USD/CAD pair comes under some selling during the Asian session on Thursday and moves away from the weekly high, around the 1.3440 region touched the previous day. The pair currently trades around the 1.3380-1.3375 region and is pressured by a combination of factors.

Crude oil prices gain some positive traction and snap a three-day losing streak amid hopes for a strong recovery in fuel demand. In fact, both the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecast a rebound in crude demand later this year. This helps offset a substantial rise in the US crude inventories and acts as a tailwind for the black liquid, which, in turn, underpins the commodity-linked Loonie. Apart from this, a modest US Dollar weakness weighs on the USD/CAD pair.

In fact, the USD Index, which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, extends the overnight pullback from a six-week high amid retreating US Treasury bond yields. This, along with a generally positive tone around the equity markets, is seen denting demand for the safe-haven buck. That said, the prospects for further policy tightening by the Fed should limit the downside for the US bond yields and the USD. This, in turn, warrants some caution before positioning for any further depreciating move for the USD/CAD pair.

Investors seem convinced that the US central bank will continue to hike interest rates in the wake of stubbornly high inflation. The bets were lifted by the US CPI report and hawkish comments by several Fed policymakers on Tuesday. Furthermore, the upbeat US monthly Retail Sales figures released on Wednesday indicated that the economy remains resilient despite rising borrowing costs. This should allow the Fed to stick to its hawkish stance for longer and supports prospects for the emergence of some USD dip-buying.

Market participants now look forward to the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI), due later during the early North American session. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment, will influence the Greenback. Apart from this, traders will take cues from oil price dynamics to grab short-term opportunities around the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3378
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open1.3391
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3374
Daily SMA501.3475
Daily SMA1001.3523
Daily SMA2001.3241
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.344
Previous Daily Low1.3333
Previous Weekly High1.3476
Previous Weekly Low1.3338
Previous Monthly High1.3685
Previous Monthly Low1.33
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3399
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3374
Daily Pivot Point S11.3336
Daily Pivot Point S21.3281
Daily Pivot Point S31.3229
Daily Pivot Point R11.3443
Daily Pivot Point R21.3495
Daily Pivot Point R31.355

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3450 amid upbeat mood, ahead of ADP

GBP/USD is inching higher above 1.3450 in European trading on Wednesday, helped by reduced haven appeal for the US Dollar as markets cheer a potential US-Iran deal on the Strait of Hormuz reopening. The decision is due later in the day. Traders also look forward to the US ADP and ISM Services PMI data.

EUR/USD keeps range near 1.1550 on Hormuz reopening optimism

EUR/USD holds ground near 1.1550 in the early European hours on Wednesday. The pair stays supported amid hopes for a US-Iran deal on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which lifts risk sentiment and keeps the safe-haven US Dollar on the back foot. The US ADP Employment data and ISM Services PMI report are in the spotlight alongside Mideast headlines.

USD/INR: Indian Rupee eases from monthly highs after RBI's neutral hold

Indian Rupee is easing from its highest level in a month above the 95.00 level against the US Dollar on Wednesday, holding gains after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) held the Repo Rate at 5.25%, as expected, maintaining a neutral stance amid still-modest inflation.

Top 3 Price Predictions: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC eyes breakout, ETH consolidates, XRP finds stability

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple move toward the key technical levels on Wednesday, which could determine the next directional bias. BTC is near the 50-day Exponential Moving Average, ETH trades sideways while XRP is showing signs of stabilization.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.