|

USD/CAD surrenders some gains after US PPI, Canadian Employment data

  • USD/CAD surrenders some of its intraday gains after the US and Canada data.
  • The Canadian employment data showed that job demand remained robust and the jobless rate decelerated.
  • The US headline PPI remained flat, while the core producer inflation grew expectedly by 0.2% in September.

The USD/CAD pair gives up some of its intraday gains after posting a fresh two-month high to near 1.3780 in Friday’s New York session. The Loonie asset surrenders some gains after the release of the United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Canadian Employment data for September.

The initial reaction after the data release was very bearish. However, it retraced half of its fall in the aftermath of the data.

The Canadian Employment report showed that the economy added 46.7K new jobs in September, higher than estimates of 27K and from 22.1K in August. In the same period, the Unemployment Rate surprisingly decelerated to 6.5% from the former reading of 6.6%. Economists expected the jobless rate to have accelerated to 6.7%.

Blowout job numbers could diminish market expectations for the Bank of Canada (BoC) to reduce interest rates again in October. The BoC has already cut its key borrowing rates by 75 basis points (bps) to 4.25%.

Meanwhile, Average Hourly Wages decelerated at a faster pace to 4.5% from 4.9% in August. This would keep risks of price pressures remaining persistent under control.

In the United States (US), the headline PPI remained flat on month-on-month. While the core producer inflation grew expectedly by 0.2%. However, the annual headline and core PPI rose at a faster-than-expected pace.

The US PPI data will unlikely impact market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) likely interest rate action in November. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders are confident that there will be an interest rate cut of 25 bps, which will push borrowing rates lower to 4.50%-4.75%.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Gains remain capped below 1.1800

EUR/USD consolidates its upside below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Monday. The pair trades listlessly amid a tepid market mood, despite a broadly subdued US Dollar. Mid-tier US Pending Home Sales are next in focus. 

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3500 amid cautious markets

GBP/USD is oscillating around 1.3500 in the European session on Monday, supported by broad US Dollar softness. But the upside appears limited due to thin market conditions heading into the New Year holiday break. 

Gold corrects from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 in European trading on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. If the US Dollar finds renewed demand, it could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.