|

USD/CAD stuck in a range below 1.30 handle

   •  Subdued USD demand fails to assist build on overnight rebound. 
   •  Weaker oil prices undermine Loonie and helped limit further slide.

The USD/CAD pair struggled to build on overnight modest rebound from multi-day lows and remained capped below the key 1.30 psychological mark. 

The pair extended last week's rejection slide from 100-day SMA and was kept losing ground for the third consecutive session on Monday. A combination of factors exerted some heavy downward pressure and dragged the pair to an intraday low level of 1.2955.

The already weaker US Dollar was further weighed down by the disappointing release of US monthly retail sales data, while the Bank of Canada Business Outlook survey report fueled rate hike expectations and underpinned the Canadian Dollar. 

The pair, however, managed to find some support at lower levels and managed to rebound around 35-pips from daily lows, albeit lacked any strong follow-through amid a subdued USD demand. 

Meanwhile, a weaker tone around crude oil prices, which tend to dent demand for the commodity-linked Loonie, extended some support and might now help limit any immediate sharp downside, at least for the time being.

Hence, it would be prudent to wait for a sustained break in either direction before positioning for the pair's intraday momentum amid relatively thin economic docket, featuring the second-tier releases of Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization Rate and JOLTS Job Openings data from the US. 

Technical levels to watch

The 1.2955-50 zone might continue to protect the immediate downside, below which the pair is likely to accelerate the fall towards testing the very important 200-day SMA support near the 1.2900-1.2895 region. On the flip side, momentum beyond the 1.30 handle is likely to confront fresh supply near the 1.3040-50 region and is followed by the 100-DMA barrier, currently near the 1.3065 region.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims losses and returns to the 1.1750 area

The US Dollar resumed its decline in the American afternoon, helping EUR/USD trim early losses. The pair trades around 1.1750 as market participants gear up for the European Central Bank monetary policy decision and the United States Consumer Price Index.

GBP/USD flirts with 1.3400 after nearing 1.3300

The GBP/USD changed course after dipping with UK inflation data, and trades near the 1.3400 mark, as investors expect the Bank of England to deliver a 25 basis points interest rate cut after the two-day meeting on Thursday.

Gold maintains its positive momentum, trades around $4,330

The XAU/USD pair gained on a deteriorated market mood, trading near its weekly highs near $4,340. The bright metal advances with caution as market players await first-tier events in Europe and hte United States.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.