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USD/CAD struggles near one-month lows, just above mid-1.2400s

  • Sustained USD selling bias dragged USD/CAD lower on the first day of the week.
  • A modest pickup in the US bond yields extended some support to the greenback.
  • Sliding oil prices undermined the loonie and helped limit deeper losses for the pair.

The USD/CAD pair remained depressed through the early European session and was last seen hovering near the 1.2460-65 region, just above one-month lows touched earlier this Monday.

The pair kicked off the new week on a downbeat note and extended last week's post-BoC sharp retracement slide from levels just above mid-1.2600s – the highest since March 10. This marked the second straight day of a negative move – also the third in the previous four – and was exclusively sponsored by the prevalent bearish sentiment surrounding the US dollar.

Investors seem convinced with the view that any spike in inflation is likely to be transitory and have been scaling back their expectations for an earlier than anticipated Fed lift-off. This, along with the underlying bullish tone in the financial markets, dragged the safe-haven USD to fresh multi-week lows and exerted some downward pressure on the USD/CAD pair.

That said, a combination of factors helped limit any further losses, at least for the time being. A modest uptick in the US Treasury bond yields extended some support to the USD. On the other hand, a fresh leg down in crude oil prices undermined the commodity-linked loonie and held bearish traders from placing aggressive bets around the USD/CAD pair.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of Durable Goods Orders later during the early North American session. Apart from this, the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment might influence the USD. Traders will further take cues from oil price dynamics to grab some opportunities around the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2461
Today Daily Change-0.0015
Today Daily Change %-0.12
Today daily open1.2476
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.255
Daily SMA501.2575
Daily SMA1001.2666
Daily SMA2001.293
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.251
Previous Daily Low1.2461
Previous Weekly High1.2654
Previous Weekly Low1.246
Previous Monthly High1.274
Previous Monthly Low1.2365
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.248
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2491
Daily Pivot Point S11.2455
Daily Pivot Point S21.2434
Daily Pivot Point S31.2407
Daily Pivot Point R11.2503
Daily Pivot Point R21.2531
Daily Pivot Point R31.2552

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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