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USD/CAD steadies below 1.3200, looks to snap eight-week losing streak

  • USD/CAD stays in a consolidation phase below 1.3200 on Friday.
  • Crude oil rebound helps loonie stay resilient against the USD.
  • US Dollar Index remains on track to end the week flat.

The USD/CAD pair dropped to 1.3150 area during the early European session on Friday but staged a rebound in the second half of the day. As of writing, the pair was virtually unchanged on the day at 1.3190 and on track to snap an eight-week losing streak.

The poor performance of major equity indexes in the US seems to be helping the USD gather strength in the American session. At the moment, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is posting small daily gains at 93.38 and the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is losing 0.5%. 

Earlier in the day, the monthly data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose from 1.6% to 1.7% in August on a yearly basis but was largely ignored by market participants.

Meanwhile, after suffering heavy losses during the first half of the week, crude oil is making a technical correction on Friday and helping the commodity-related loonie limit its losses against the greenback. At the moment, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate is up 1.05% on the day at $37.40.

USD/CAD technical outlook

Credit Suisse analysts think that USD/CAD could extend its losses if it closes below 1.3129,  the broken downtrend line coming from March. 

“A close beneath 1.3129 would reinforce the view that the setback is over and that the medium-term downtrend is taking back over. Support is seen thereafter at 1.3088/76, beneath which should allow for a move back to 1.3047/38. Removal of here would then reinforce the bearish bias further for a fall back to 1.2994, then medium-term support at 1.2952," analysts said.  “A move back above 1.3270 in contrast would see a base complete to suggest a more important correction higher, with next important resistances see.”

Additional levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3186
Today Daily Change-0.0007
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1.3193
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.315
Daily SMA501.3324
Daily SMA1001.3549
Daily SMA2001.3521
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3202
Previous Daily Low1.3119
Previous Weekly High1.3162
Previous Weekly Low1.2994
Previous Monthly High1.3451
Previous Monthly Low1.302
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3171
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3151
Daily Pivot Point S11.314
Daily Pivot Point S21.3088
Daily Pivot Point S31.3057
Daily Pivot Point R11.3224
Daily Pivot Point R21.3255
Daily Pivot Point R31.3307

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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