|

USD/CAD set to break above key resistance at 1.3080 – TDS

USD/CAD holds fairly well against a strong US Nonfarm Payrolls and disappointing Canadian jobs report. That said, economists at TD Securities think the pair is in the midst of forming a higher base, and a topside break above key resistance at 1.3080 is inevitable.

Disappointing jobs number does not do the CAD any favors

“A disappointing jobs number does not do the CAD any favors, particularly against a much stronger payrolls report in the US. The data mix is supportive of a higher USD/CAD, but we are not convinced that it will break the 1.3080 resistance in the near-term. More dominoes need to fall before that happens. But make no mistake, it will.”

“We think USD/CAD is forming a higher base, and we believe that holding risk into US inflation and the Fed's Index of Common Inflation Expectations (CIE) next week is playing with fire (US CPI is expected to be as strong as the last report while the CIE likely rose).”

“We are long USD/CAD and target 1.35.”

See – Canadian dollar: Forecasts from five major banks, best G10 currency only means modest recovery

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold rebounds toward $4,400 following sharp correction

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).