|

USD/CAD rises as US shutdown resolution boosts USD, firm CAD limits upside

  • USD/CAD rises on Tuesday, supported by progress in the US Congress toward ending the shutdown.
  • The Senate’s approval of a funding bill boosts the US Dollar.
  • Strong Canadian labor market data limits the Greenback’s upside potential.

USD/CAD advances toward 1.4030 on Tuesday at the time of writing, up 0.10% for the day. The move reflects growing optimism over an imminent resolution of the US government funding deadlock, while investors await fresh US employment data.

The US Senate has passed a funding bill that could bring an end to the longest federal shutdown in history within days. The text now heads to the House of Representatives for final approval before being signed into law by US President Donald Trump, who has voiced support for the bipartisan deal. This prospect reinforces confidence in the resumption of government operations and supports theUS Dollar (USD).

On the monetary front, Federal Reserve (Fed) officials maintain a dovish stance. Governor Stephen Miran noted that disinflation continues and suggested another 25 to 50 basis points rate cut could come in December. This outlook, however, caps USD upside as markets price in a 62% chance of further easing at the next meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

In Canada, a resilient labor market allows the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.25%. The Unemployment Rate fell to 6.9% in October from 7.1% previously, while the economy added 66,600 jobs, marking a second consecutive month of stronger-than-expected gains. According to Leslie Preston, Senior Economist at Toronto-Dominion Bank, this data “will make the BoC more comfortable sitting on the sidelines and letting past rate cuts work their way through the economy.”

In the short term, the pair’s direction will depend on the final passage of the US funding bill and the market’s reaction to upcoming US labor indicators. Any confirmation that the shutdown is ending could keep USD/CAD above the psychological 1.4000 level, while Canada’s solid labor market may limit the pair’s upward momentum.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the British Pound.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.06%0.32%0.14%0.11%0.24%0.05%-0.33%
EUR0.06%0.39%0.20%0.17%0.31%0.11%-0.27%
GBP-0.32%-0.39%-0.18%-0.21%-0.10%-0.27%-0.65%
JPY-0.14%-0.20%0.18%-0.04%0.10%-0.11%-0.47%
CAD-0.11%-0.17%0.21%0.04%0.14%-0.06%-0.44%
AUD-0.24%-0.31%0.10%-0.10%-0.14%-0.19%-0.61%
NZD-0.05%-0.11%0.27%0.11%0.06%0.19%-0.38%
CHF0.33%0.27%0.65%0.47%0.44%0.61%0.38%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls hard to test 0.7100 amid risk aversion

AUD/USD is under intense selling pressure in Friday's Asian trading, attacking the 0.7100 level. Broad risk-aversion amid US-Iran uncertainty, combined with weak Australian GDP data, weighs heavily on the higher-yielding Australian Dollar. All eyes now remain on the US NFP report for fresh impetus.

USD/JPY coiling up around 160.00 amid 'Yentervention' threats

USD/JPY sits glued near 160.00 in Asia on Friday, as the Japanese Yen remains supported by persistent 'Yentervention' threats by Japan's officials. However, the pair's downside remains capped by the Mideast tensions-led risk-off mood and the US Dollar's bullish consolidation.

Gold drops back toward $4,400 on US-Iran standoff, US NFP eyed

Gold price returns to the red and approaches $4,400 in the Asian session on Friday. The precious metal remains volatile amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal and the US May employment report later on Friday. 


DeFi hack losses drop 80% from 2022 peak as security defenses improve — Immunefi

Losses from decentralized finance exploits have fallen by 80% since reaching a record high in 2022, according to a report released by Immunefi. The report, which analyzed exploit-driven losses across major blockchain ecosystems between 2020 and 2025, found that DeFi protocol losses declined from $2.62 billion in 2022 to $534 million in 2024.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.