|

USD/CAD retreats back to the lower end of a 5-day-old trading range

   •  USD continues to be weighed down by reviving US-China trade war fears.
   •  A modest recovery in oil prices underpin Loonie and exert additional pressure.

The USD/CAD pair traded with a negative bias through the early European session on Tuesday and slipped back to the lower end of a five-day-old trading range. 

The pair extended overnight rejection slide from the 1.2940-50 heavy supply zone and was now being weighed down by some renewed US Dollar weakness, led by reviving worries over a possible escalation of the US-China trade dispute.

This coupled with a modest uptick in crude oil prices underpinned the commodity-linked currency - Loonie and further collaborated to the pair's retracement slide back below the 1.2900 handle.

It would now be interesting to see if the pair is once again able to find some buying interest near the 1.2860 region or finally breaks down of the near-term trading range. Traders now look forward to this week's important macroeconomic releases, including the keenly watched NFP, for some fresh directional impetus.

Technical levels to watch

Any subsequent weakness below 1.2860 area is likely to get extended towards the 1.2815-10 support, which if broken might turn the pair vulnerable to extend the downfall further towards 50-day SMA support near the 1.2720 region.

On the upside, any up-move back above the 1.2900 handle might continue to confront heavy supply near the 1.2940-50 area, above which a fresh bout of short-covering has the potential to lift the pair further towards the key 1.30 psychological mark.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold to challenge fresh record highs

Gold prices soared to $4,497 early on Monday, as persistent US Dollar weakness and thinned holiday trading exacerbated the bullish run. The bright metal eases following the release of an upbeat US Q3 GDP reading, as USD finds near-term demand in the American session.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.