|

USD/CAD retreats back to the lower end of a 5-day-old trading range

   •  USD continues to be weighed down by reviving US-China trade war fears.
   •  A modest recovery in oil prices underpin Loonie and exert additional pressure.

The USD/CAD pair traded with a negative bias through the early European session on Tuesday and slipped back to the lower end of a five-day-old trading range. 

The pair extended overnight rejection slide from the 1.2940-50 heavy supply zone and was now being weighed down by some renewed US Dollar weakness, led by reviving worries over a possible escalation of the US-China trade dispute.

This coupled with a modest uptick in crude oil prices underpinned the commodity-linked currency - Loonie and further collaborated to the pair's retracement slide back below the 1.2900 handle.

It would now be interesting to see if the pair is once again able to find some buying interest near the 1.2860 region or finally breaks down of the near-term trading range. Traders now look forward to this week's important macroeconomic releases, including the keenly watched NFP, for some fresh directional impetus.

Technical levels to watch

Any subsequent weakness below 1.2860 area is likely to get extended towards the 1.2815-10 support, which if broken might turn the pair vulnerable to extend the downfall further towards 50-day SMA support near the 1.2720 region.

On the upside, any up-move back above the 1.2900 handle might continue to confront heavy supply near the 1.2940-50 area, above which a fresh bout of short-covering has the potential to lift the pair further towards the key 1.30 psychological mark.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.