USD/CAD resumes declines toward 1.3280 on Oil recovery, comments from BoC’s Wilkins

USD/CAD revisits 1.3320 levels on early Friday.
Increasing crude oil prices and absence of rate signals from the BoC’s Deputy Governor pleased CAD buyers.
Economic calendar is in focus for fresh impulse.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

USD/CAD trades near 1.3320 during early Asian sessions on Friday. The quote seems to resume its earlier declines toward 1.3280 support as traders concentrate more on oil recovery and comments from the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins. Scheduled economic data from the US and Canada will be in focus going forward.

The USD/CAD pair refrained from extending its pullback much beyond 1.3350 as prices of Oil, Canada’s main export, strengthened on supply challenging scenarios. Main catalysts were OPEC’s February output report, Iraq’s aim for higher crude prices and the US intention to further hurt Iran by cutting its exports off.

Comments from the BoC’s Deputy Governor also helped the pair stretch its declines. While speaking at the Vancouver School of Economics and CFA Society, Wilkins made no mention of the need for the central bank’s future interest rate moves. Traders were seeking any clues for the rate-cuts after the BoC sound pessimistic in its latest appearance.

Looking forward, traders will now concentrate on the second-tier data scheduled for release from the US and Canada. Starting with January month manufacturing shipments from Canada, the anticipated +0.4% growth figure can add strength into the Loonie bulls as its much better than previous -1.3% contraction.

On the other hand, the US may also have some upbeat numbers to question the pair’s strength. Among them, likely improvements in March month NY empire state manufacturing index to 10.0 from 8.8 and a rise of Michigan consumer sentiment index to 95.3 from 93.8 could gain market attention. Also, February month industrial production might rise by +0.4% versus 0.6% decline.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis

100-day simple moving average (SMA) level of 1.3280 continues to remain on sellers’ radar as it holds the gate for extended downward trajectory toward 1.3230 and 200-day SMA level of 1.3175.

Meanwhile, immediate descending trend-line, at 1.3360, seems limiting the pair’s near-term advances, a break of which can recall 1.3410 on the chart.

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

EUR/USD slumps below 1.1750 as USD benefits from risk-aversion

EUR/USD comes under renewed bearish pressure in the European session and trades below 1.1750 following a recovery attempt earlier in the day. The US Dollar gathers strength and weighs on the pair as investors seek refuge in the wake of Israel and the United States' joint attack on Iran.

GBP/USD targets 1.3500 barrier near moving averages

GBP/USD rebounds from the daily losses, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold surges on safe-haven demand, rises above $5,400

Gold benefits from intense risk-aversion on Monday and climbs above $5,400, setting a fresh monthly-high in the process. Tensions in the Middle East remain high as Israel and Hezbollah continue to exchange strikes following the US-Israel joint attack on Iran over the weekend.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple under pressure as key supports face breakdown risk

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices trade on the back foot at the start of this week on Monday, after extending losses in the previous week. BTC is on the brink of a breakdown, ETH is capped below key resistance, and XRP risks a crack of the trendline.

The market is paying for insurance, not apocalypse

As expected, this morning felt less like a Monday market open and more like a fire drill. Futures screens flickered red. S&P contracts down almost 1%. Nasdaq off 1.2%. Brent leaped 13% through $80. Gold rose 1.6% toward $5350 before paring some gains. The dollar is strutting mildly. The Swiss franc is quietly doing what it always does in a storm, catching some safe-haven flows.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Core team offloads supply, weighing on PI recovery

Pi Network hovers below $0.1700, broadly steady at press time on Monday, attempting a recovery after a 2% loss the previous day. Sunday’s decline aligned with nearly 49 million PI tokens offloaded by the Pi Foundation, implying a spike in supply pressure that capped the prevailing four-day recovery.