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USD/CAD remains on the defensive around 1.3400 mark, seems vulnerable amid weaker USD

USD/CAD struggles to gain any meaningful traction amid the prevalent USD selling bias.
A modest downtick in oil prices undermines the Loonie and helps limit the downside.
Traders now look to the US PCE inflation data and ISM PMI short-term opportunities.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

The USD/CAD pair consolidates the previous day's heavy losses and oscillates in a narrow range, around the 1.3400 mark through the early European session on Thursday.

The US Dollar languishes near a multi-month low in the wake of dovish comments by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday and acts as a headwind for the USD/CAD pair. In fact, Powell sent a clear message that the US central bank will soften its stance and said that it was time to moderate the pace of interest rate hikes. This leads to an extension of the recent sharp decline in the US Treasury bond yields and keeps the USD bulls on the defensive.

Apart from this, the risk-on mood - as depicted by a positive tone around the equity markets - is seen as another factor weighing on the safe-haven Greenback. That said, a modest retracement in Crude Oil prices from a one-week high touched on Wednesday undermines the commodity-linked Loonie and lends support to the USD/CAD pair. The likelihood that OPEC+ will leave output unchanged at its meeting on Sunday and demand concerns act as a headwind for the black liquid.

Nevertheless, the underlying bearish sentiment surrounding the USD suggests that the path of least resistance for the USD/CAD pair is to the downside. This, in turn, supports prospects for an extension of this week's sharp pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3600s, or the highest level since November 4 set on Tuesday. Hence, any attempted recovery could be seen as a selling opportunity and runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, highlighting the release of the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - the Core PCE Price Index - and ISM Manufacturing PMI. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment, will influence the USD. Traders will further take cues from oil price dynamics to grab short-term opportunities around the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price	1.3399
Today Daily Change	-0.0052
Today Daily Change %	-0.39
Today daily open	1.3451

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.3416
Daily SMA50	1.3578
Daily SMA100	1.3286
Daily SMA200	1.3022

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.3594
Previous Daily Low	1.3426
Previous Weekly High	1.3495
Previous Weekly Low	1.3316
Previous Monthly High	1.3808
Previous Monthly Low	1.3226
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.349
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.353
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.3387
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.3322
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.3218
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.3555
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.3659
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.3723

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

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