|

USD/CAD remains depressed below 1.2100 mark

  • USD/CAD traded with a mild negative bias for the second straight session on Friday.
  • Dovish Fed expectations, sliding US bond yields continued weighing on the greenback.
  • A softer tone around oil prices undermined the loonie and helped limit deeper losses.

The USD/CAD pair remained on the defensive below the 1.2100 mark through the early European session, albeit lacked any strong follow-through selling.

The pair added to the previous day's modest losses and edged lower for the second consecutive session on Friday. The downtick was sponsored by the prevalent selling bias surrounding the US dollar, which was weighed down by expectations that the Fed will retain its ultra-lose policy stance for a longer period.

Data released on Thursday showed that the pace of inflation in the United States climbed to a 13-year high in May. Investors, however, seem aligned with the Fed's narrative that any spike in inflation is likely to be transitory as the economy continues to recover and that pricing pressures will abate later in the year.

This was reinforced by the overnight sharp decline in the US Treasury bond yields, which extended through the first half of the trading action on Friday. In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond languished near its lowest level since early March, which acted as a headwind for the greenback.

That said, the downside remains cushioned, at least for the time being, amid a softer tone around crude oil prices, which tend to undermine demand for the commodity-linked loonie. The USD/CAD pair, so far, has been oscillating in a range since the beginning of this week, warranting some caution before placing fresh directional bets.

Market participants now look forward to the release of the Preliminary Michigan US Consumer Sentiment index for some impetus later during the early North American session. Apart from this, the US bond yields will influence the USD. Traders might further take cues from oil price dynamics to grab some short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2087
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.2096
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2082
Daily SMA501.2272
Daily SMA1001.2458
Daily SMA2001.2739
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2125
Previous Daily Low1.207
Previous Weekly High1.2133
Previous Weekly Low1.2007
Previous Monthly High1.2352
Previous Monthly Low1.2013
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2091
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2104
Daily Pivot Point S11.2069
Daily Pivot Point S21.2042
Daily Pivot Point S31.2014
Daily Pivot Point R11.2124
Daily Pivot Point R21.2152
Daily Pivot Point R31.218

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.