USD/CAD recovers early lost ground, flat-lined just below mid-1.2700s

USD/CAD attracted some dip-buying on Tuesday and was supported by a combination of factors.
Weaker crude oil prices undermined the loonie and acted as a tailwind amid sustained USD buying.
Retreating US bond yields held back bulls from placing aggressive bets and capped gains for the pair.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

The USD/CAD pair recovered over 50 pips from the daily low and touched a fresh intraday high, around the 1.2745 region during the first half of the European session.

A combination of factors assisted the USD/CAD pair to attract some dip-buying near the 1.2685 region on Tuesday and turned positive for the fourth successive day. Crude oil prices languished near a two-week low amid worries that renewed COVID-19 curbs in China will hamper fuel demand. This, in turn, weighed on the commodity-linked loonie and acted as a tailwind for spot prices amid the underlying strong bullish sentiment surrounding the US dollar.

The market conviction that the Fed would tighten its monetary policy at a faster pace to curb soaring inflation, along with the prevalent risk-off mood, lifted the USD to a more than two-year high. Investors now expect the US central bank to hike interest rates by 50 bps at each of the next four FOMC meetings in May, June, July and September. Apart from this, concerns about slowing global economic growth tempered investors' appetite for perceived riskier assets.

That said, the ongoing retracement slide held back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets and kept a lid on any further gains for the USD/CAD pair, at least for the time being. This makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for any further near-term appreciating move. Traders now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of Durable Goods Orders and the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index.

Apart from this, the US bond yields, along with the broader market risk sentiment, will influence the USD and provide some impetus to the USD/CAD pair. Traders will further take cues from oil price dynamics to grab some short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price	1.2734
Today Daily Change	-0.0001
Today Daily Change %	-0.01
Today daily open	1.2735

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.2575
Daily SMA50	1.2647
Daily SMA100	1.2677
Daily SMA200	1.2628

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.2778
Previous Daily Low	1.2702
Previous Weekly High	1.2726
Previous Weekly Low	1.2458
Previous Monthly High	1.2901
Previous Monthly Low	1.243
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.2749
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.2731
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.2699
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.2663
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.2624
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.2774
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.2813
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.2849

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

AUD/USD keeps the red near 0.6950 after weak Aussie jobs data

AUD/USD holds losses near 0.6950 on disappointing Australian jobs data, extending the previous day's retracement slide from the monthly high and hitting a fresh weekly low during Thursday’s Asian session. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched after Wednesday's hot US CPI, helping limit losses for the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides back below 158.00 as USD reverses post-CPI gains

USD/JPY extends the previous day's pullback from a three-week high, attracting follow-through selling and sliding below 158.00 during Thursday's Asian session. Traders remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, meanwhile, reverses Wednesday's hot CPI-led gains to April 2025 highs as US bond yields retreat on China bond-buying talk, further pressuring the pair.

Gold: Upside remains capped by $4,200

Gold regains the smile and leaves behind three consecutive days of losses, advancing to the $4,170 region per troy ounce on Thursday. The precious metal’s recovery comes amid the fresh offered stance in the Greenback and declining US Treasury yields while investors remain cautious ahead of the Fed’s Warsh speech on Friday.

Ripple clings to $1.30 support as downside risks intensify

Ripple is stuck in a bearish trend, trading near $1.30 on Thursday. The remittance token’s bearish shift reflects the broader cryptocurrency market, which remains under heavy selling amid concerns about accelerating inflation in the US.

Budget preview: Is Healey impressing the bond market?

There is less than 2 weeks to go before the Chancellor delivers his first budget. Unusually for the UK, the economic and financial backdrop to this budget is upbeat. UK bonds have been rallying, the FTSE 100 is the top performing major stock index this week, and the Pound is also stabilising versus the Dollar.

Everyone's dumping Gold after hot US inflation. Here's why $4,100 could be a floor, not a cliff

Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from a sharp sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data released on Wednesday. The precious metal briefly plunged toward $4,073 as investors increased their bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes before recovering as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) reversed their initial gains.