|

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Likely to find resistance at the 1.3825 area

  • The US Dollar appreciates for the fourth day in a row against a vulnerable CAD.
  • The Loonie struggles with WTI Oil prices, attempting to extend losses below $63.00.
  • The pair might find resistance at a previous support area ahead of 1.3825.

The US Dollar is trading higher for the fourth consecutive day against the Canadian Dollar. The Greenback has shrugged off the pressure from the weak employment figures seen on Wednesday and is testing weekly highs above 1.3815, where it might find significant resistance.

The fundamental background is moderately favourable. Investors remain cautious of selling US Dollars ahead of Friday’s all-important Non-farm Payrolls report, while the Canadian Dollar keeps bleeding with Oil prices attempting to break below the $63.00 level.

Technical Analysis: A previous support might challenge US Dollar bulls

USD/CAD Chart

The technical picture is bullish. The 4-Hour RSI is at 63, and the MACD remains within positive territory. The pair, however, is likely to find some resistance in the area between the September 2 high, at 1.3815, which is under pressure at the moment, and 1.3825, where the pair was contained on August 22,25, and 26.

The pair might need further reasons to break above these levels, but if that area gives way, bulls will aim for the August 26 high, at 1.3855, ahead of the August 22 high, at 1.3925.

To the downside, Wednesday’s low, at 1.3785, is likely to challenge sellers in a potential bearish reversal. Below here, the key support area is the 1.3720-1.3730 area, August 7 and August 29 lows, and the bottom of the last six weeks’ trading range. Further down, the next target would be the July 27 low, near 1.3690.

Canadian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.05%0.11%0.13%0.12%0.23%0.03%0.13%
EUR-0.05%0.06%0.05%0.08%0.24%-0.01%0.03%
GBP-0.11%-0.06%0.08%0.00%0.16%-0.07%-0.04%
JPY-0.13%-0.05%-0.08%0.00%0.03%-0.04%0.01%
CAD-0.12%-0.08%-0.01%-0.01%0.07%-0.06%-0.04%
AUD-0.23%-0.24%-0.16%-0.03%-0.07%-0.24%-0.19%
NZD-0.03%0.01%0.07%0.04%0.06%0.24%0.09%
CHF-0.13%-0.03%0.04%-0.01%0.04%0.19%-0.09%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).