USD/CAD Price Analysis: Wyckoff’s Inventory Accumulation is in making

USD/CAD is marching higher despite upbeat oil prices.
Stretched consolidation after a downfall is demonstrating signs of inventory accumulation.
A 40.00-60.00 range oscillation by the RSI (14) indicates a consolidation ahead.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

The USD/CAD pair is gradually moving towards the round-level resistance of 1.3400 after a recovery move to near 1.3370 in the Asian session. The Loonie asset is inching higher despite rising oil prices amid optimism about a recovery in Chinese economic prospects.

It seems that rising US Treasury yields have weighed on risk-sensitive assets. The return generated by 10-year US Treasury bonds has climbed above 3.54%. S&P500 futures have resumed their correction, portraying a further drop in investors’ risk appetite. The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to juggle around 102.00.

A stretched consolidation in USD/CAD for the past two weeks after a healthy sell-off is demonstrating signs of Wyckoff’s inventory accumulation in a 1.3360-1.3460 range. A Spring formation on an hourly scale of around 1.3322 is indicating the presence of responsive buyers, which considered the Loonie asset a ‘value buy’ at lower prices.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3392 is overlapping on the USD/CAD price, which indicates a consolidation.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range, which adds to the consolidation filters.

Should the asset break above January 12 high at 1.3461, US Dollar bulls will drive the asset towards the psychological resistance at 1.3500 followed by January 6 low at 1.3540.

On the contrary, the Loonie asset will witness weakness if it drops below January 13 low at 1.3322. This will expose the asset for further weakness towards November 18 low at 1.3300 and November 15 low at 1.3226.

USD/CAD hourly chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price	1.3391
Today Daily Change	0.0003
Today Daily Change %	0.02
Today daily open	1.3388

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.351
Daily SMA50	1.3495
Daily SMA100	1.3503
Daily SMA200	1.3177

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.3437
Previous Daily Low	1.3369
Previous Weekly High	1.3461
Previous Weekly Low	1.3322
Previous Monthly High	1.3705
Previous Monthly Low	1.3385
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.3395
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.3411
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.3359
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.333
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.3291
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.3427
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.3466
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.3494

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

GBP/USD advances to fresh monthly high above 1.3550

GBP/USD gains traction in the American session and trades at its highest level in a month at around 1.3550 on its way to a positive weekly closing. The US Dollar remains under pressure following the disappointing Retail Sales data and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1550 on renewed USD weakness

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum on Friday and trades in positive territory above 1.1500. The US Dollar weakens heading into the weekend as markets continues to scale back bets for a rate hike in September following the disappointing July Retail Sales data.

Gold regains its traction, rises toward $4,400

Gold stages a rebound after coming in within a touching distance of $4,300 earlier in the day and closes in on $4,400. Easing expectations for a Fed interest rate hike in September helps the precious metal find demand heading into the weekend. Meanwhile, weak Retail Sales data from the US puts additional weight on the USD's shoulders.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10

Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.

UoM Consumer Sentiment Index set to ease as inflation, labour market worries loom

The University of Michigan will release the preliminary estimate of August’s Consumer Sentiment Index on Friday. US consumers’ confidence is expected to have ticked down to 54.5 in August from 55.2 in July, as measured by the UoM Consumer Sentiment Index.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?

Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.