|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Wyckoff’s Inventory Accumulation is in making

  • USD/CAD is marching higher despite upbeat oil prices.
  • Stretched consolidation after a downfall is demonstrating signs of inventory accumulation.
  • A 40.00-60.00 range oscillation by the RSI (14) indicates a consolidation ahead.

The USD/CAD pair is gradually moving towards the round-level resistance of 1.3400 after a recovery move to near 1.3370 in the Asian session. The Loonie asset is inching higher despite rising oil prices amid optimism about a recovery in Chinese economic prospects.

It seems that rising US Treasury yields have weighed on risk-sensitive assets. The return generated by 10-year US Treasury bonds has climbed above 3.54%. S&P500 futures have resumed their correction, portraying a further drop in investors’ risk appetite. The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to juggle around 102.00.

A stretched consolidation in USD/CAD for the past two weeks after a healthy sell-off is demonstrating signs of Wyckoff’s inventory accumulation in a 1.3360-1.3460 range. A Spring formation on an hourly scale of around 1.3322 is indicating the presence of responsive buyers, which considered the Loonie asset a ‘value buy’ at lower prices.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3392 is overlapping on the USD/CAD price, which indicates a consolidation.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range, which adds to the consolidation filters.

Should the asset break above January 12 high at 1.3461, US Dollar bulls will drive the asset towards the psychological resistance at 1.3500 followed by January 6 low at 1.3540.

On the contrary, the Loonie asset will witness weakness if it drops below January 13 low at 1.3322. This will expose the asset for further weakness towards November 18 low at 1.3300 and November 15 low at 1.3226.

USD/CAD hourly chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3391
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.3388
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.351
Daily SMA501.3495
Daily SMA1001.3503
Daily SMA2001.3177
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3437
Previous Daily Low1.3369
Previous Weekly High1.3461
Previous Weekly Low1.3322
Previous Monthly High1.3705
Previous Monthly Low1.3385
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3395
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3411
Daily Pivot Point S11.3359
Daily Pivot Point S21.333
Daily Pivot Point S31.3291
Daily Pivot Point R11.3427
Daily Pivot Point R21.3466
Daily Pivot Point R31.3494

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to build on recent rebound, holds above 1.1550

EUR/USD trades marginally lower on the day but holds above 1.1550 in the American session, following Thursday's rebound. The pair holds near its intraday high as the US Dollar remains pressured by hopes the Middle East conflict will soon come to an end.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3400 as investors await war clarity

GBP/USD remains near its daily open, not far from 1.3400, in the second half of Friday's session. The US Dollar lost its previous intraday strength and weakens as investors await clarity on the US-Iran war.

Gold stabilizes above $4,200 as wait-and-see continues

After rising more than 3% on Thursday, Gold (XAU/USD) stabilized around the $4,200 mark in the American session on Friday. The US dollar seesaws between gains and losses, but remains within familiar levels as investors remain skeptical yet hopeful about a resolution to the Middle East conflict.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recovery slows amid incessant capital outflows

The cryptocurrency remains in a broader corrective bias on Friday, despite majors such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) holding slightly higher than early-week support levels.

SpaceX launches 24% higher at Friday debut
Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX), aka SpaceX, zoomed 24% higher soon after the start of its first IPO trading day on Friday. Shares of the rocket and artificial intelligence (AI) company founded by Elon Musk began trading at about 11:46 am EST and quickly gained speed.
4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.