|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Off multi-month-old support line but upside remains capped below 1.3380

  • USD/CAD portrays corrective bounce from seven-month-old ascending support line.
  • Downbeat oscillators, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and previous support line guards recovery moves.
  • 100-DMA holds the key to buyer’s conviction while break of 1.3300 could aim for 200-DMA.

USD/CAD picks up bids to pare recent losses around the lowest levels in 11 weeks, mildly bid near 1.3340 heading into Friday’s European session. In doing so, the Loonie pair bounces off an upward-sloping support line from early June 2022.

However, a convergence of the previous support line from mid-November and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s April-October upside, near 1.3380 by the press time, restricts USD/CAD pair’s recovery.

Other than the aforementioned key resistance confluence near 1.3380, the bearish MACD signals and the downward-sloping RSI (14) also challenge the Loonie pair’s corrective bounce.

Even if the USD/CAD buyers manage to cross the 1.3380 hurdle, the 100-DMA surrounding 1.3525 will be crucial to stop the upside momentum, a break of which won’t hesitate to challenge the monthly high of near 1.3685.

On the flip side, a daily closing below the stated multi-month-old support line, close to 1.3300 at the latest, could quickly fetch the USD/CAD pair towards the 200-DMA support of around 1.3210.

In a case where the USD/CAD remains bearish past 1.3210, the 1.3200 round figure may act as the last defense of buyers before relinquishing control.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3339
Today Daily Change0.0015
Today Daily Change %0.11%
Today daily open1.3324
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3445
Daily SMA501.3504
Daily SMA1001.3522
Daily SMA2001.3205
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3408
Previous Daily Low1.3303
Previous Weekly High1.3521
Previous Weekly Low1.3351
Previous Monthly High1.3705
Previous Monthly Low1.3385
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3343
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3368
Daily Pivot Point S11.3282
Daily Pivot Point S21.324
Daily Pivot Point S31.3178
Daily Pivot Point R11.3387
Daily Pivot Point R21.345
Daily Pivot Point R31.3492

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1600 as USD rebounds

EUR/USD  trades marginally lower below 1.1600 in the European session on Friday. The pair edges down as the US Dollar rebounds slightly after Thursday’s massive profit-taking pullback. Looming US-Iran uncertainty revives the haven demand for the Greenback, while the Euro takes a breather after the hawkish ECB hike-led rally.

GBP/USD holds steady above 1.3400 ahead of US sentiment data

GBP/USD recovers losses and trades modestly flat above 1.3400 in the European trading hours on Friday. The UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) declined by 0.1% in April, limiting the pair's upside amid renewed US Dollar weakness. The focus now remains on the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment data.


Gold flatlines above $4,200; bearish bias intact amid US-Iran risks

,Gold recovers modest intraday losses, and turns flat during the first half of the European session, though it remains below the daily peak. Despite uncertainty over the US-Iran peace deal, a steadier mood fails to help the US Dollar in preserving its gains. This is seen as a key factor offering some support to the commodity.

Pi Network: Bulls attempt comeback as bearish strength fades

Pi Network (PI) is trading at around $0.120 after a modest recovery the previous day. Despite this recent rebound, traders should be cautious as a scheduled unlock of 14.8 million PI tokens on Friday could limit the token's recovery potential by increasing market supply. Meanwhile, the technical outlook is showing early signs of fading bearish momentum, suggesting a short-term bounce.

Week ahead – Central bank barrage ahead: Fed, BoJ, RBA, SNB and BoE in focus
The US dollar outperformed most of its major counterparts this week, with investors remaining convinced that the Fed may need to press the rate hike button before the end of this year. Fed hike bets were significantly bolstered after the US jobs report for May came in much stronger than expected, with nonfarm payrolls rising to 172k and confounding expectations of a much more modest 85k gain.
4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.