|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Loses momentum below 1.3460 ahead of US PCE data

  • USD/CAD loses traction near 1.3458 amid the weaker USD.
  • The pair holds below the 50- and 100-hour EMAs on the four-hour chart.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI) is located in the bearish territory below 50.
  • The immediate resistance level is seen at 1.3495; the initial support level is located at 1.3423.

The USD/CAD pair attracts some sellers around 1.3458 during the early European session on Friday. The downtick of the pair is supported by a correction of the US Dollar (USD) and lower US Treasury yields. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) drops to 105.90 after retreating from 106.83, the highest since November.

From the technical perspective, USD/CAD holds below the 50- and 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on the four-hour chart, which supports the sellers for the time being. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is located in the bearish territory below 50, which means the path of the least resistance of USD/CAD is to the downside.

The immediate resistance level for the pair is seen near the 50-hour EMA at 1.3495. The additional upside filter to watch is near the 100-hour EMA at 1.3510. Further north, the pair will see a rally to the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band of 1.3536. Any follow-through buying above the latter will pave the way to a high of September 13 at 1.3586, followed by a psychological round figure at 1.3600.

On the downside, any decisive break below the lower limit of the Bollinger Band of 1.3465 will see a drop to the next contention at 1.3423 (a low of September 22). Further south, the next downside stop will emerge at 1.3380 (a low of September 19) en route to a low of August 4 at 1.3319.

USD/CAD four-hour chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3462
Today Daily Change-0.0025
Today Daily Change %-0.19
Today daily open1.3487
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3541
Daily SMA501.3466
Daily SMA1001.3403
Daily SMA2001.3459
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3516
Previous Daily Low1.347
Previous Weekly High1.3528
Previous Weekly Low1.3379
Previous Monthly High1.364
Previous Monthly Low1.3184
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3488
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3499
Daily Pivot Point S11.3466
Daily Pivot Point S21.3445
Daily Pivot Point S31.342
Daily Pivot Point R11.3512
Daily Pivot Point R21.3537
Daily Pivot Point R31.3558

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.1400 on hawkish ECB expectations despite US-Iran tensions

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild gains around 1.1405 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. A hawkish tone from the European Central Bank provides some support to the Euro against the US Dollar. Traders await the upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday. 

Gold: Strong recovery might face roadblock as oil price extends gains

Gold price extends its winning streak for the third trading day on Wednesday, trading 1.5% higher to near $4,140 during the Asian session. The precious metal recovered strongly in the past few trading days from its three-week low of $3,959.80 as traders scaled back Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike expectations for the monetary policy meeting next week.

Bitcoin extends gains, Ethereum and XRP target breakout moves

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain on the front foot on Wednesday as the broader crypto market extends its gains so far this week. BTC leads gains after closing above key resistance while ETH and XRP near key technical hurdles where a breakout could pave the way for additional gains.

UK CPI set to show receding inflation in June as GBP/USD fails at May highs

The UK Office for National Statistics will release the June Consumer Price Index figures on Wednesday at 06:00 GMT, a print that will matter for markets. Consensus expectations point to inflation pressures still above the Bank of England’s target, although losing further momentum.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.