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USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bears’ shouldn’t ignore falling wedge on 1D

  • USD/CAD stays depressed for the fourth consecutive day.
  • Sustained downside break of 10-day SMA favors bears targeting fresh low since April 2018.
  • 50-day SMA adds to the upside filters beyond the bullish chart pattern.

USD/CAD wavers around the mid-1.2700s while keeping the recent downside momentum during Thursday’s Asian session. The pair dropped below 10-day SMA for the first time in two weeks the previous day.

Although sustained trading below key SMAs and an absence of extreme RSI conditions suggest a continuation of the present downtrend, sellers have limited scope below the April 2018 lows inside the bullish formation.

That said, two bounces off 1.2688, the multi-month low flashed before two weeks, are on the USD/CAD sellers’ radar at the moment. Though, any further downside will be challenged by the lower line of the stated pattern near 1.2590.

Meanwhile, an upside clearance of 10-day SMA, at 1.2827 now, will eye to confirm the stated bullish pattern with a break above the 1.2870 resistance line.

Although a successful move past-1.2870 theoretically indicates a gradual run-up beyond 1.3500, 50-day SMA near 1.2970, the 1.3000 theshold and multiple tops below 1.3400 can challenge the bulls during the rise.

USD/CAD daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2751
Today Daily Change-64 pips
Today Daily Change %-0.50%
Today daily open1.2815
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2811
Daily SMA501.2988
Daily SMA1001.3097
Daily SMA2001.3423
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.286
Previous Daily Low1.278
Previous Weekly High1.2958
Previous Weekly Low1.2786
Previous Monthly High1.337
Previous Monthly Low1.2923
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2811
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.283
Daily Pivot Point S11.2777
Daily Pivot Point S21.2738
Daily Pivot Point S31.2696
Daily Pivot Point R11.2857
Daily Pivot Point R21.2899
Daily Pivot Point R31.2938

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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