|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Attempts to come out of woods

  • USD/CAD rebounds after building a base around 1.3400 as the market mood turns cautious.
  • US headline inflation for July is expected to rebound as oil prices recovered sharply last month.
  • USD/CAD shifts auction above the 1.3387 resistance, which turns into a support for the US Dollar bulls.

The USD/CAD pair attempts to break the consolidation above the round-level support of 1.3400 in the European session. The Loonie asset finds strength as the US Dollar rebounds after discovering a cushion near 102.30.

Bearish sentiment revives as investors turn cautious ahead of the United States inflation data, which will be released on Thursday at 12:30 GMT. US headline inflation for July is expected to rebound as oil prices recovered sharply last month.

July’s inflation data is expected to build a base for Federal Reserve’s (Fed) September monetary policy as sticky price pressures would force policymakers to consider an extension of policy-tightening.

USD/CAD shifts auction above the horizontal resistance plotted from July 07 high at 1.3387 on a four-hour scale, which turns into a support for the US Dollar bulls. The Loonie asset is approaching the next resistance plotted around 1.3650. Upward-sloping 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3400 provides support to the US Dollar.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) oscillates in a 40.00-60.00 range, which indicates a consolidation ahead.

Mean-reversion move to near 1.3400 would be a buying opportunity for the US Dollar bulls. This would drive the asset toward June 05 high at 1.3462 followed by the psychological resistance at 1.3500.

In an alternate scenario, a downside move below July 18 high at 1.3288 would drag the asset toward July 27 low around 1.3160 and July 14 low marginally below 1.3100.

USD/CAD four-hour chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3445
Today Daily Change0.0026
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open1.3419
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.324
Daily SMA501.3271
Daily SMA1001.3396
Daily SMA2001.3454
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3502
Previous Daily Low1.3365
Previous Weekly High1.3394
Previous Weekly Low1.3151
Previous Monthly High1.3387
Previous Monthly Low1.3093
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.345
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3417
Daily Pivot Point S11.3355
Daily Pivot Point S21.3292
Daily Pivot Point S31.3218
Daily Pivot Point R11.3492
Daily Pivot Point R21.3566
Daily Pivot Point R31.3629

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.