|

USD/CAD pares intraday gains, back below 1.2700 mark despite sustained USD strength

  • USD/CAD struggled to capitalize on its modest intraday gains to the 1.2720 region.
  • Bullish crude oil prices underpinned the loonie and acted as a headwind for the pair.
  • The worsening Ukraine crisis benefitted the safe-haven USD and extended support.

The USD/CAD pair retreated a few pips from the daily high and was seen trading with modest intraday gains, just below the 1.2700 mark during the early European session.

The pair built on the overnight strong rebound of over 100 pips from sub-1.2600 levels, or the lowest since January 26 and gained some follow-through traction for the second straight day on Friday. News that Russian troops are shelling Europe's largest nuclear power plant in Ukraine triggered a fresh wave of the global risk aversion trade and boosted the safe-haven US dollar. This, in turn, extended some support to the USD/CAD pair.

That said, a fresh surge in crude oil prices underpinned the commodity-linked loonie and capped gains for the USD/CAD pair, rather attracted some selling near the 1.2720 region. Following the previous day's turnaround from the multi-year high, crude oil regained positive traction on Friday amid the worsening situation in Ukraine. The latest development fueled fears of a disruption in Russian crude exports and pushed oil prices higher.

The market nervousness, however, eased a bit after the International Atomic Energy reported that there has been no change reported in radiation levels at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant site. Adding to this, Ukraine's emergency services said that fire at the nuclear plant has been extinguished and led to modest pullback in oil prices. This, along with sustained USD strength, remained supportive of the mildly positive tone around the USD/CAD pair.

Market participants now look forward to the US monthly jobs report, due for release later during the early North American session. The popularly known NFP report might influence the USD, which, along with oil price dynamics should provide some impetus to the USD/CAD pair. The focus, however, will remain glued to the incoming headlines surrounding the Russia-Ukraine saga.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2689
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.06
Today daily open1.2681
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2719
Daily SMA501.2685
Daily SMA1001.2645
Daily SMA2001.2571
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2692
Previous Daily Low1.2587
Previous Weekly High1.2878
Previous Weekly Low1.2682
Previous Monthly High1.2878
Previous Monthly Low1.2636
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2652
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2627
Daily Pivot Point S11.2615
Daily Pivot Point S21.2548
Daily Pivot Point S31.2509
Daily Pivot Point R11.272
Daily Pivot Point R21.2759
Daily Pivot Point R31.2825

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.