- WTI weakness favors the USD/CAD pair’s short-covering moves.
- Retail sales numbers will be in focus for fresh direction.
USD/CAD is taking the rounds near 1.3350 while heading into the European session on Thursday. The Loonie pair dipped yesterday as Canadian trade and inflation numbers pleased sellers but the recent weakness of WTI triggered the quote’s U-turn. Traders may now concentrate on retail sales numbers from the US and Canada for fresh impulse.
On Wednesday, the decline in the US trade deficit couldn’t win over the increase in international merchandise trade, consumer price index (YoY) from Canada.
However, the weakness failed to last long as markets booked some profits off WTI as EIA released weekly inventory decline that was lesser than the private industry stock change number.
Increase in Iranian exports of crude, as estimated by Reuters, could also be the reason behind WTI’s pullback from the near five-month high.
Crude being Canada’s largest export item, the USD/CAD pair has a negative correlation with WTI.
Looking forward, March month retail sales control group from the US will confront with February month retail sales data from Canada around 12:30 GMT. Forecasts suggest that the US reading could increase to +0.4% from -0.2% whereas the Canadian number might rise to +0.2% from 0.1%.
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
While 1.3400 acts as nearby resistance, a descending trend-line from March-high, at 1.3440, could challenge buyers afterward. In a case prices rally beyond 1.3440, 1.3510 and 1.3600 might become their next targets.
On the contrary, 50-day simple moving average (SMA) figure near 1.3315 and 1.3250 may entertain short-term sellers prior to challenging them with an upward sloping support-line at 1.3220 and 200-day SMA level of 1.3200.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD remained bid above 0.6500
AUD/USD extended further its bullish performance, advancing for the fourth session in a row on Thursday, although a sustainable breakout of the key 200-day SMA at 0.6526 still remain elusive.
EUR/USD faces a minor resistance near at 1.0750
EUR/USD quickly left behind Wednesday’s small downtick and resumed its uptrend north of 1.0700 the figure, always on the back of the persistent sell-off in the US Dollar ahead of key PCE data on Friday.
Gold holds around $2,330 after dismal US data
Gold fell below $2,320 in the early American session as US yields shot higher after the data showed a significant increase in the US GDP price deflator in Q1. With safe-haven flows dominating the markets, however, XAU/USD reversed its direction and rose above $2,340.
Bitcoin price continues to get rejected from $65K resistance as SEC delays decision on spot BTC ETF options
Bitcoin (BTC) price has markets in disarray, provoking a broader market crash as it slumped to the $62,000 range on Thursday. Meanwhile, reverberations from spot BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continue to influence the market.
US economy: slower growth with stronger inflation
The dollar strengthened, and stocks fell after statistical data from the US. The focus was on the preliminary estimate of GDP for the first quarter. Annualised quarterly growth came in at just 1.6%, down from the 2.5% and 3.4% previously forecast.