|

USD/CAD moves back closer to multi-week tops/200-DMA

  • USD/CAD gains positive traction for the third consecutive session on Friday.
  • Bulls seemed unaffected by a subdued USD demand, recovering oil prices.
  • Friday’s Canadian GDP print and US economic data eyed for a fresh impetus.

The USD/CAD pair reversed an early dip to sub-1.3200 levels and moved back closer to seven-week tops set in the previous session.

Having touched an intraday low level of 1.3195, the pair caught some fresh bids and has now turned higher for the third consecutive session on Friday – also marking its fifth day of a positive move in the previous six.

Bulls shrug off a combination of negative factors

The uptick seemed rather unaffected by a subdued US dollar price action and largely shrugged off a solid intraday bounce in crude oil prices, which tend to underpin demand for the commodity-linked currency – the loonie.

Despite the previous session's in line US GDP print and a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields on Friday, the greenback struggled to attract any meaningful buying interest and remained on the defensive.

Even a strong recovery in oil prices, now up around 1.5% for the day, failed to dampen the prevalent bullish sentiment surrounding the major or stall the positive move back closer to multi-week tops.

Currently hovering around the 1.3220-25 region, a subsequent strength beyond the very important 200-day SMA might be seen as a fresh trigger for bulls and set the stage for a further near-term appreciating move.

Moving ahead, market participants now look forward to the release of the Canadian GDP growth figures, which coupled with a slew of second-tier US economic data might provide some meaningful impetus.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3226
Today Daily Change0.0033
Today Daily Change %0.25
Today daily open1.3193
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3084
Daily SMA501.3141
Daily SMA1001.3178
Daily SMA2001.3229
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3228
Previous Daily Low1.3186
Previous Weekly High1.3174
Previous Weekly Low1.3036
Previous Monthly High1.3322
Previous Monthly Low1.2951
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3202
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3212
Daily Pivot Point S11.3177
Daily Pivot Point S21.316
Daily Pivot Point S31.3135
Daily Pivot Point R11.3219
Daily Pivot Point R21.3244
Daily Pivot Point R31.3261

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds range below 1.3650 amid Iran risks

GBP/USD extends its sideways consolidative price move for the second straight day and trades below 1.3650 in Tuesday's European session. The US Dollar is looking to build on its modest recovery amid US sanctions on Iran, acting as a headwind for the pair. The lack of follow-through selling warrants some caution for bearish traders.

EUR/USD struggles near 1.1650 as USD recovers amid Mideast woes

EUR/USD is struggling to gain traction, while trading near 1.1650 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair fails to find support amid a modest US Dollar recovery as rising oil prices, elevated bond yields, and escalating Middle East tensions fuel risk-off trades. Germany IFO Survey is next in focus.

Gold remains depressed below $4,650 on firmer USD, Fed risks, and Middle East tensions

Gold remains on the back foot below $4,650 through the first half of the European session. However, the lack of follow-through selling warrants caution before positioning for an extension of the intraday retracement slide from the $4,700 neighborhood, or the highest level since May 14, touched earlier this Tuesday. The US Dollar is seen building on its recovery from a three-month low as inflation risks stemming from volatile energy prices keep bets for at least one interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve on the table.

Bitcoin tops $80,000 as US Treasury fights high yields – AERO, VIRTUAL rally

Bitcoin extends gains above $80,000 as broader market risk-on sentiment persists. The scarce asset could extend its rally as the US Treasury combats high yields in the long-dated bond market, with further interventions on the horizon. Aerodrome Finance (AERO) and Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) emerged as top performers over the last 24 hours.

The forex market is switching to a ‘debasement trade’
The US dollar has stabilised near three-month lows thanks to a rapid recovery in Treasury bond yields. Yields on 30-year bonds are returning to the levels seen following the Treasury’s announcement that it was increasing the minimum purchase volume to $4 billion. The greenback got support from falling stock indices, the continued rally in Brent crude, and positive signals from the US economy.
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.