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USD/CAD inches lower to near 1.3550 as US Dollar declines on downbeat US yields

  • USD/CAD surged by 0.85% on an unexpected upside in US inflation on Tuesday.
  • The higher Crude oil prices are contributing support for the Canadian Dollar.
  • The probability of the Fed avoiding rate adjustment in March surged to 93%.

USD/CAD retreats after Tuesday’s surge, edging lower to near 1.3550 during the early European session on Wednesday. The decline in the US Dollar (USD) is attributed to the decrease in US Treasury yields, thereby weakening the USD/CAD pair.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) appears to have strengthened against the US Dollar, possibly buoyed by higher Crude oil prices. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price is poised to continue its winning streak, trading around $77.50 per barrel at the time of writing. Despite facing challenges, the price of Crude oil has managed to recover its intraday losses.

On Tuesday, the USD/CAD pair surged by 0.85%, driven by the unexpected upside in US inflation for January. The market sentiment has shifted significantly, with expectations of no rate adjustment by the Federal Reserve in March surging to 93%, while investors are now considering the possibility of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in June.

The US headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) exceeded expectations, coming in at 3.1%, although slightly lower than the previous rate of 3.4%. Meanwhile, the US Core CPI (YoY) remained unchanged at 3.9%, contrary to market expectations of a decline to 3.7% in January.

Recent Canadian employment data has painted a healthier picture of the labor market, potentially leading the Bank of Canada (BoC) to delay their forecasts on rate cuts until June from April. However, BoC Governor Tiff Macklem indicated that the central bank's focus has shifted from debating whether interest rates are high enough to discuss how long rates need to remain at current levels.

USD/CAD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3555
Today Daily Change-0.0015
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open1.357
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3468
Daily SMA501.3418
Daily SMA1001.3553
Daily SMA2001.3477
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3586
Previous Daily Low1.3438
Previous Weekly High1.3544
Previous Weekly Low1.3413
Previous Monthly High1.3542
Previous Monthly Low1.3229
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3529
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3494
Daily Pivot Point S11.3476
Daily Pivot Point S21.3383
Daily Pivot Point S31.3328
Daily Pivot Point R11.3625
Daily Pivot Point R21.368
Daily Pivot Point R31.3773

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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