|

USD/CAD holds gains near 1.3850 as Canadian Liberals fail to secure majority government

  • USD/CAD strengthens as the Canadian Liberal Party retains power but falls short of a majority government.
  • The Liberals led in 167 electoral districts, below the 172 needed for a majority in the 343-seat House of Commons.
  • The US Dollar gains support from rising optimism over progress in US-China trade relations.

USD/CAD has recovered its intraday losses, trading around 1.3840 during early European hours on Tuesday. The pair appreciates as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) loses ground following election results in Canada.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal Party maintained power in Monday’s election but failed to secure the majority needed to bolster his position in trade negotiations with US President Donald Trump. The Liberals were leading in 167 electoral districts, falling short of the 172 seats required for a majority in the 343-seat House of Commons. The opposition Conservatives trailed with 145 seats, according to Reuters, with vote counting still underway.

In his victory speech in Ottawa, Carney remarked, “Our old relationship with the United States, a relationship based on steadily increasing integration, is over. The system of open global trade anchored by the United States—though not perfect, has delivered prosperity for our country for decades, and that system is now over.”

The USD/CAD pair is also gaining support as the US Dollar benefits from growing optimism surrounding US-China trade relations. President Trump expressed willingness to roll back tariffs on Chinese goods, while Beijing announced exemptions for select US imports—developments that have raised hopes for a resolution to the prolonged trade dispute between the two economic giants.

Additionally, Trump emphasized continued progress in talks and confirmed ongoing communication with Chinese President Xi Jinping. According to the Wall Street Journal, the US President is also looking to ease the burden of automotive tariffs by reducing overlapping duties on foreign vehicles and cutting tariffs on imported car parts.

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests 1.1800, closes in on a fresh two-month high

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day on Tuesday and trades near 1.1800. The broad-based US Dollar weakness and a potential policy divergence between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve keep the bullish bias intact heading into the holiday season.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3500 area, renews 11-week peak

GBP/USD extends its weekly rally and trades at its highest level since early October above 1.3500. The US Dollar remains under persistent bearish pressure heading into the Christmas break, while Pound traders largely brush off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England.

Gold approaches $4,500 as record-setting rally continues

Gold builds on Monday's impressive gains and advances toward $4,500, setting fresh record-highs along the way. Heightened geopolitical tensions, combined with the ongoing US Dollar (USD) selloff ahead of the Q3 GDP data, help XAU/USD preserve its bullish momentum.

US GDP expected to highlight steady growth in Q3

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will publish the first preliminary estimate of the third-quarter Gross Domestic Product on Tuesday, at 13:30 GMT. Analysts expect the data to show annualized growth of 3.2%, following the 3.8% expansion in the previous quarter.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.