|

USD/CAD hits monthly highs and reverses after US and Canada job reports

  • In Canada, jobs declined modestly in July by 6,400.
  • In the US, Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 187,000, falling below the market consensus of 200,000.
  • Both the US Dollar and the Loonie weakened across the board after the release of the data.

The USD/CAD initially dropped and then experienced a significant increase, reaching its highest level since early June, just below 1.3400. This movement in the currency pair was driven by employment data from both Canada and the US. As of the current writing, the pair is hovering around 1.3360, below the level it had before the release of the reports.

Canada and US jobs data below expectations 

In Canada, the economy lost 6,400 jobs in July, against expectations of a 21,100 increase. The Unemployment rate rose to 5.5%. This is the first time since COVID that the unemployment rate has increased for three consecutive months. These numbers triggered a decline in the Canadian Dollar across the board.

The fact that the USD/CAD is hovering around the same level is attributed to the US jobs report, which also came in below market estimates and led to a decline in the value of the US Dollar. The Loonie is falling sharply versus NZD and AUD. 

The US economy added 187,000 jobs in July, falling short of the expected 200,000. On a positive note, the Unemployment Rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%. Average Hourly Earnings rose by 4.4% compared to a year ago, surpassing the market consensus of 4.2%.

US Treasury yields initially spiked but then reversed their course, weighing on the US Dollar. The DXY is down 0.30% for the day, trading below 102.20.

Technical levels 

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3375
Today Daily Change0.0022
Today Daily Change %0.16
Today daily open1.3353
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3221
Daily SMA501.3284
Daily SMA1001.3406
Daily SMA2001.3457
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3378
Previous Daily Low1.3329
Previous Weekly High1.3255
Previous Weekly Low1.3147
Previous Monthly High1.3387
Previous Monthly Low1.3093
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3359
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3348
Daily Pivot Point S11.3329
Daily Pivot Point S21.3304
Daily Pivot Point S31.328
Daily Pivot Point R11.3378
Daily Pivot Point R21.3403
Daily Pivot Point R31.3427

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays below 1.3400 after soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction and stays below 1.3400 in the second half of the day on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, making it difficult for the British Pound gather recovery momentum. Meanwhile, investors keep a close eye on headlines coming out of the Middle East.

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1400 as markets focus on geopolitics

EUR/USD trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1400 on Wednesday. In the absence of high-impact data releases, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East caps the pair's upside. On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce monetary policy decisions.

Gold holds gains above $4,100 undaunted by risk-off markets

Gold extends gains for the fourth consecutive day, standing comfortably above $4,100, unfazed by the risk-off market amid rising tensions in Iran and higher Oil prices. The pair has rallied nearly 2.5% so far this week and is on track for its best weekly performance in more than three months.

XRP consolidates as inflows and volume climb
Ripple (XRP) retains a slightly bullish outlook on Wednesday despite logging a minor correction from the supply range near $1.15. The remittance token is down 0.5% on the day, reflecting a broader cryptocurrency market drawdown, primarily driven by persistent geopolitical tensions between the United States (US) and Iran in the Middle East.
US – Fed preview: A divided hold
The first month after Kevin Warsh's debut at the FOMC's June meeting has brought mixed signals on the inflation front. On one hand, the re-escalation of the war in Iran has lifted energy prices higher again. Yet on the other hand, Warsh's hawkish comments have already lifted real rates, supported broad USD and tightened financial conditions while realized inflation surprised to the downside in June.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.