|

USD/CAD hits monthly highs and reverses after US and Canada job reports

  • In Canada, jobs declined modestly in July by 6,400.
  • In the US, Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 187,000, falling below the market consensus of 200,000.
  • Both the US Dollar and the Loonie weakened across the board after the release of the data.

The USD/CAD initially dropped and then experienced a significant increase, reaching its highest level since early June, just below 1.3400. This movement in the currency pair was driven by employment data from both Canada and the US. As of the current writing, the pair is hovering around 1.3360, below the level it had before the release of the reports.

Canada and US jobs data below expectations 

In Canada, the economy lost 6,400 jobs in July, against expectations of a 21,100 increase. The Unemployment rate rose to 5.5%. This is the first time since COVID that the unemployment rate has increased for three consecutive months. These numbers triggered a decline in the Canadian Dollar across the board.

The fact that the USD/CAD is hovering around the same level is attributed to the US jobs report, which also came in below market estimates and led to a decline in the value of the US Dollar. The Loonie is falling sharply versus NZD and AUD. 

The US economy added 187,000 jobs in July, falling short of the expected 200,000. On a positive note, the Unemployment Rate fell from 3.6% to 3.5%. Average Hourly Earnings rose by 4.4% compared to a year ago, surpassing the market consensus of 4.2%.

US Treasury yields initially spiked but then reversed their course, weighing on the US Dollar. The DXY is down 0.30% for the day, trading below 102.20.

Technical levels 

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3375
Today Daily Change0.0022
Today Daily Change %0.16
Today daily open1.3353
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3221
Daily SMA501.3284
Daily SMA1001.3406
Daily SMA2001.3457
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3378
Previous Daily Low1.3329
Previous Weekly High1.3255
Previous Weekly Low1.3147
Previous Monthly High1.3387
Previous Monthly Low1.3093
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3359
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3348
Daily Pivot Point S11.3329
Daily Pivot Point S21.3304
Daily Pivot Point S31.328
Daily Pivot Point R11.3378
Daily Pivot Point R21.3403
Daily Pivot Point R31.3427

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 0.7150 barrier nine-day EMA

AUD/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving sideways within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold defends 200-day SMA at $4,425, but for how long?

Gold is attempting a tepid recovery toward $4,500 early Thursday, as renewed optimism in the Mideast geopolitical front calms market nerves. This cautious optimism across Asian markets weighs on Oil prices, and diminishes the US Dollar’s safe-haven appeal, helping Gold stage a decent comeback from the weekly low of $4,424.

 

Hyperliquid: ETF demand, capital rotation fuel HYPE rally as Bitcoin melts

Hyperliquid price sustains an upward trend near its all-time high of $75.76 on Thursday after posting 80% gains in May, while Bitcoin (BTC) retraces below $65,000, triggering a market-wide panic.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar
The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.