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USD/CAD extends its losses on upbeat Crude prices, edges lower to near 1.3450

  • USD/CAD loses ground despite the hawkish Fed stance on interest rate trajectory.
  • WTI price strengthens as Israel has rejected Hamas' proposal for a ceasefire.
  • BoC projects that Canadian inflation will persist above 2% until sometime in 2025.

USD/CAD continues to move in a downward direction for the third straight day, edging lower to near 1.3450 during the Asian session on Thursday. The upbeat Crude oil prices are contributing support to strengthening the Canadian Dollar (CAD), which, in turn, acts as a headwind for the USD/CAD pair.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price hovers around $74.20 per barrel, at the time of writing. Crude oil prices are expected to maintain their upward trajectory, with a potential obstacle emerging in the process of a ceasefire in the Israel-Gaza conflict. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has rejected Hamas' proposal for a ceasefire and the release of hostages in the Gaza Strip.

However, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has indicated the possibility of further negotiations to achieve a resolution. Additionally, a Hamas delegation, led by senior official Khalil Al-Hayya, is scheduled to travel to Cairo on Thursday for discussions with Egypt and Qatar aimed at reaching a ceasefire agreement.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) projections that Canadian inflation will persist above 2% until sometime in 2025. BoC underscored global economic challenges, highlighting the resilience of consumer spending in the United States (US) as a mitigating factor against downside risks.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) seems to continue its downward trend for the third consecutive session, hovering around 104.00, by the press time. The Greenback faces challenges on downbeat US Treasury yields despite the US Federal Reserve (Fed) emphasizing its commitment to keeping interest rates elevated for quite some time. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell dismissed the possibility of a rate cut in March and committed to monitor inflation sustainably returning to the 2% target.

Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler expressed contentment with the notable progress on inflation during remarks made on Wednesday, expressing optimism that this positive trajectory will endure. Fed Boston President Susan Collins, addressing the Boston Economic Club, suggested the possibility of rate cuts later in the year if the economy meets expectations.

Market participants will focus on US jobs data on Thursday, including Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on February 2. On Canada’s side, the Unemployment Rate and Net Change in Employment will be released on Friday.

USD/CAD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3454
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.3463
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3458
Daily SMA501.3423
Daily SMA1001.3553
Daily SMA2001.3476
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3494
Previous Daily Low1.3455
Previous Weekly High1.3476
Previous Weekly Low1.3359
Previous Monthly High1.3542
Previous Monthly Low1.3229
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.347
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3479
Daily Pivot Point S11.3447
Daily Pivot Point S21.3432
Daily Pivot Point S31.3408
Daily Pivot Point R11.3487
Daily Pivot Point R21.351
Daily Pivot Point R31.3526

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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